Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2020-04-23

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-27

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 3 2 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 11 38 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 36 47 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 645 5731 30197
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 13 11 0
ODI 0 1 2 3 5 15 26 0
CDI 0 2 2 6 35 30 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 59 670 5728 30197

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 74 205 2842
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 74 205 2842

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 52 1029 8900
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 53 1029 8900

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 4 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 23 7 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 990 4556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 13 6 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 62 991 4554

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 42 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 44 14 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 59 36 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 717 2859 3307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 27 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 50 18 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 62 39 127 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 711 2796 3301

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 4 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 70 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 19 48 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 71 130 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 434 3123 1268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 35 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 3 31 14 10 8 0
CDI 0 3 1 37 73 107 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 67 471 3106 1268

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 1 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 10 79 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 10 120 124 11 0 0
ODI 0 19 3 40 329 75 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 26 130 690 63 0
VCDI 0 7 1 38 85 1232 3046 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 6 67 5 0 0 0
OW 0 31 7 43 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 3 56 173 38 0 0
ODI 0 27 3 60 165 167 14 0
CDI 0 32 5 12 157 408 157 0
VCDI 0 15 3 69 143 1395 2938 0

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3363 3196 37 279 148 13 0 0
OW 0 89 20 118 100 16 0 0
VODI 0 29 10 146 179 25 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 35 287 73 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 10 372 386 4 0
VCDI 0 3 4 31 255 1825 256 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3363 3202 42 288 179 15 0 0
OW 0 59 7 52 95 19 0 0
VODI 0 17 12 113 148 35 0 0
ODI 0 21 4 74 163 84 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 46 302 262 7 0
VCDI 0 24 9 46 454 1923 253 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3900 3478 50 510 43 0 0 0
OW 0 12 5 101 160 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 55 361 8 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 508 51 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 378 746 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 337 943 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3900 3482 50 550 202 2 0 0
OW 0 8 6 86 187 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 30 280 15 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 268 62 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 511 679 138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 379 832 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8458 3600 63 397 133 4 0 0
OW 0 21 4 80 79 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 38 69 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8458 3610 64 437 214 7 0 0
OW 0 11 3 71 72 16 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 16 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 448 19 61 9 0 0 0
OW 0 15 9 57 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 58 68 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 127 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 93 322 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 763 2975 586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 446 19 76 29 2 0 0
OW 0 16 5 19 18 9 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 54 39 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 52 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 169 234 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 818 2987 586

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 22 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 5 47 8 4 3 0
ODI 0 2 2 22 28 126 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 74 264 97 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 953 6097 650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 22 11 0 5 0
ODI 0 20 2 25 15 127 46 0
CDI 0 10 4 37 23 201 123 4
VCDI 0 0 0 11 169 1019 6060 650

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12767 4374 61 541 105 2 0 0
OW 0 48 23 168 143 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 211 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 176 232 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 302 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 179 597 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12767 4414 80 656 236 7 0 0
OW 0 8 4 62 154 59 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 125 186 24 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 85 159 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 60 149 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 206 549 0


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