Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69973 14778 211 1389 498 2 0 0
OW 71 234 50 473 537 50 0 0
VODI 0 28 12 302 1035 184 16 0
ODI 0 0 1 65 561 265 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 598 755 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 430 2584 7961 5836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69904 14707 246 1472 456 23 0 0
OW 69 261 47 745 547 36 0 0
VODI 1 38 15 469 794 158 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 74 602 271 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 613 1200 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 453 3195 6934 5518
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69697 14915 244 1625 582 1 0 0
OW 62 114 43 829 639 11 0 0
VODI 0 7 9 335 726 104 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 757 340 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 819 1346 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 298 3404 6885 5050
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69630 15065 261 2040 652 2 0 0
OW 65 98 35 422 632 39 1 0
VODI 0 0 3 204 683 128 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 539 380 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 666 1413 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 412 3356 6189 5745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69630 15088 268 2062 745 5 0 0
OW 65 75 31 422 533 22 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 189 696 153 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 536 389 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 632 1369 229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 442 3380 6212 5745

Date: 2020-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70087 15221 268 1819 653 8 0 0
OW 67 159 35 372 515 57 4 0
VODI 0 23 17 235 535 200 10 0
ODI 0 8 5 128 463 300 67 0
CDI 0 11 2 72 786 1290 274 0
VCDI 0 8 2 38 779 3123 5739 5720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70087 15272 270 1880 720 9 0 0
OW 67 117 36 324 458 49 0 0
VODI 0 14 17 228 525 229 27 0
ODI 0 8 2 120 472 286 51 0
CDI 0 10 2 72 807 1295 254 0
VCDI 0 9 2 40 749 3110 5762 5720

Date: 2020-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70283 14971 227 1786 438 19 0 0
OW 65 153 58 473 473 41 0 0
VODI 0 27 11 275 768 87 2 0
ODI 0 9 2 47 998 337 27 0
CDI 0 9 2 11 842 1627 277 0
VCDI 0 3 4 31 274 2835 6453 5155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70283 15009 250 1990 856 36 0 0
OW 65 89 23 287 507 113 1 0
VODI 0 14 13 149 525 247 40 0
ODI 0 22 6 96 502 307 58 0
CDI 0 14 3 49 958 1230 355 0
VCDI 0 24 9 52 445 3013 6305 5155

Date: 2020-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69945 15278 242 2014 725 19 0 0
OW 64 55 29 319 616 65 0 0
VODI 0 18 6 155 738 307 8 0
ODI 0 6 2 33 762 550 36 0
CDI 0 6 1 31 792 1580 415 0
VCDI 0 0 2 28 168 3687 6967 3431
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69944 15288 240 2052 1141 77 0 0
OW 65 44 22 232 456 149 2 0
VODI 0 1 9 138 449 396 21 0
ODI 0 4 2 73 516 351 68 0
CDI 0 11 4 32 921 1318 395 0
VCDI 0 15 5 53 318 3917 6940 3431

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70345 15154 251 2044 775 12 0 0
OW 63 22 17 235 737 77 1 0
VODI 0 15 7 97 709 431 15 0
ODI 0 13 4 41 569 685 48 0
CDI 0 9 3 19 515 1969 504 0
VCDI 0 10 3 35 140 2767 7369 3390
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70345 15102 237 2006 1213 75 1 0
OW 63 67 22 204 397 212 3 0
VODI 0 7 11 115 494 405 19 0
ODI 0 0 1 51 438 404 74 0
CDI 0 7 3 35 661 1753 254 0
VCDI 0 40 11 60 242 3092 7586 3390


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