Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 3 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 51 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 39 62 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 89 73 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 6 152 335 65 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 757 8207 22073
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 4 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 66 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 101 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 199 58 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 324 351 121 16
VCDI 0 0 0 8 168 1595 10494 18402
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 9 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 5 106 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 110 172 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 51 274 130 39 4
CDI 0 2 1 44 297 655 225 29
VCDI 0 0 0 11 109 1832 10490 17300
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 2 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 7 102 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 5 112 224 28 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 58 268 164 6 3
CDI 0 9 1 58 271 617 272 52
VCDI 0 0 0 28 155 1932 9990 17497
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 132 5 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 4 55 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 129 182 22 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 55 268 139 17 5
CDI 0 12 1 59 295 575 274 64
VCDI 0 0 0 30 163 2005 9977 17483

Date: 2020-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 180 9 100 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 16 118 271 24 0 0
ODI 0 41 9 118 293 169 8 0
CDI 0 32 8 67 323 734 286 21
VCDI 0 16 3 54 314 2345 10445 15839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 7 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 76 6 66 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 11 101 244 13 0 0
ODI 0 43 11 115 281 153 15 0
CDI 0 34 8 58 327 654 254 30
VCDI 0 21 4 70 357 2452 10470 15830

Date: 2020-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 4 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 137 18 139 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 16 238 244 21 0 0
ODI 0 26 4 63 476 137 17 0
CDI 0 9 2 34 310 922 222 0
VCDI 0 7 1 38 192 2709 11546 14299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 212 11 84 9 0 0 0
OW 0 44 9 47 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 10 151 238 47 0 0
ODI 0 51 6 104 259 206 74 0
CDI 0 35 6 52 354 603 340 0
VCDI 0 15 3 80 341 2933 11371 14299

Date: 2020-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 3 33 3 0 0 0
OW 0 72 11 171 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 5 95 275 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 359 239 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 191 1039 386 12
VCDI 0 0 0 7 103 1984 12071 14658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 187 10 102 15 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 48 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 62 250 108 11 0
ODI 0 9 4 48 238 249 82 11
CDI 0 1 1 79 223 606 481 46
VCDI 0 0 0 24 221 2345 11912 14613

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 7 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 19 191 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 91 271 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 394 262 11 7
CDI 0 0 0 26 246 961 391 25
VCDI 0 0 0 14 95 2799 13109 12802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 20 126 3 0 0 0
OW 0 5 5 68 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 90 206 77 9 1
ODI 0 0 0 42 259 298 67 8
CDI 0 0 0 63 324 829 477 36
VCDI 0 0 0 3 208 2851 12958 12789


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