Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 3 26 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 61 128 34 2
CDI 0 0 0 17 136 494 165 59
VCDI 0 0 0 0 260 1698 10098 32638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 101 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 81 342 172 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 184 1518 9111 34302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 14 0 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 40 59 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 439 221 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1103 8138 35767
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 30 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 92 29 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 123 167 116 55
VCDI 0 0 0 0 154 1498 9374 34220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 81 25 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 130 136 116 56
VCDI 0 0 0 0 175 1534 9375 34219

Date: 2020-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 40 63 19 2 0
ODI 0 7 1 39 40 65 7 0
CDI 0 1 1 45 87 163 63 1
VCDI 0 0 0 30 276 1667 9674 33554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 34 59 10 2 0
ODI 0 7 1 40 47 55 5 0
CDI 0 1 1 41 89 158 48 2
VCDI 0 0 0 39 288 1691 9691 33553

Date: 2020-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 31 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 5 59 63 7 4 0
ODI 0 2 2 22 112 180 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 123 398 161 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 148 1716 9852 32852
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 28 59 18 7 0
ODI 0 20 2 37 57 159 50 0
CDI 0 10 4 40 89 289 209 13
VCDI 0 0 0 11 277 1835 9798 32844

Date: 2020-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 15 0 0 0
OW 0 29 5 38 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 3 38 53 40 9 4
ODI 0 1 1 31 65 156 41 75
CDI 0 0 0 6 171 477 239 242
VCDI 0 0 0 0 103 1883 8216 33851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 9 56 27 3 48
ODI 0 34 1 27 56 124 58 119
CDI 0 9 4 68 144 461 348 213
VCDI 0 0 0 10 198 1944 8096 33792

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 9 0 0 0
OW 0 40 6 62 34 0 2 0
VODI 0 6 6 56 56 43 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 147 271 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 132 725 579 83
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 2003 11722 29686
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 5 38 46 49 16 0
ODI 0 29 7 75 53 268 99 20
CDI 0 0 0 47 279 634 729 134
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 2091 11551 29615


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