Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69973 14808 214 1401 498 2 0 0
OW 71 235 53 524 540 51 1 0
VODI 0 28 12 346 1100 216 32 0
ODI 0 0 1 102 711 466 66 5
CDI 0 0 0 34 886 1584 388 91
VCDI 0 0 0 0 757 5039 26266 60547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69904 14738 250 1483 456 23 0 0
OW 69 264 50 811 574 36 5 0
VODI 1 38 15 506 895 164 12 0
ODI 0 0 1 101 807 430 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 1018 1893 513 18
VCDI 0 0 0 12 805 6308 26539 58222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69697 15024 253 1637 582 1 0 0
OW 62 121 48 935 679 11 0 0
VODI 0 9 11 445 912 118 8 0
ODI 0 0 1 91 1071 529 92 4
CDI 0 2 1 56 1166 2440 599 34
VCDI 0 0 0 17 423 6339 25513 58117
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69630 15178 263 2051 652 2 0 0
OW 65 139 42 524 664 39 1 0
VODI 0 10 8 316 937 158 19 0
ODI 0 12 2 116 899 573 72 3
CDI 0 9 1 86 1060 2197 636 107
VCDI 0 0 0 55 721 6786 25553 57462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69630 15220 273 2103 745 5 0 0
OW 65 88 35 477 575 22 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 318 891 176 18 0
ODI 0 9 4 99 885 553 80 5
CDI 0 12 1 96 1057 2080 619 120
VCDI 0 0 0 55 780 6919 25564 57447

Date: 2020-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70087 15321 270 1819 653 8 0 0
OW 67 339 44 472 579 57 4 0
VODI 0 115 35 393 869 243 12 0
ODI 0 56 15 285 796 534 82 0
CDI 0 44 11 184 1196 2187 623 22
VCDI 0 24 5 122 1369 7135 25858 55113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70087 15451 277 1927 720 9 0 0
OW 67 193 42 390 497 49 0 0
VODI 0 122 30 363 828 252 29 0
ODI 0 58 14 275 800 494 71 0
CDI 0 45 11 171 1223 2107 556 32
VCDI 0 30 6 149 1394 7253 25923 55103

Date: 2020-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70283 15128 231 1792 438 19 0 0
OW 65 304 77 643 533 41 0 0
VODI 0 113 32 572 1075 115 6 0
ODI 0 37 8 132 1586 654 91 0
CDI 0 18 4 49 1275 2947 660 5
VCDI 0 10 5 69 614 7260 27851 52306
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70283 15221 261 2074 865 36 0 0
OW 65 133 32 334 552 113 1 0
VODI 0 65 25 328 822 312 47 0
ODI 0 93 14 237 818 672 182 0
CDI 0 59 13 141 1401 2122 904 13
VCDI 0 39 12 143 1063 7781 27474 52298

Date: 2020-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69945 15415 245 2048 743 19 0 0
OW 64 156 45 528 756 65 0 0
VODI 0 47 14 288 1066 393 17 4
ODI 0 7 3 97 1186 945 106 75
CDI 0 6 1 61 1154 3096 1040 254
VCDI 0 0 2 35 374 7554 27254 51940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69944 15475 250 2154 1156 77 0 0
OW 65 52 24 280 533 149 2 0
VODI 0 21 15 209 755 531 35 48
ODI 0 47 7 148 810 724 208 130
CDI 0 21 9 179 1288 2385 1224 259
VCDI 0 15 5 87 737 8206 26948 51836

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70345 15252 258 2113 784 12 0 0
OW 63 149 42 488 844 77 3 0
VODI 0 21 13 244 1036 507 38 0
ODI 0 13 4 83 1110 1218 128 7
CDI 0 9 3 46 893 3655 1474 108
VCDI 0 10 3 49 299 7569 32200 45878
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70345 15282 257 2132 1216 75 1 0
OW 63 72 27 272 476 212 3 0
VODI 0 24 17 243 746 531 44 1
ODI 0 29 8 168 750 970 240 28
CDI 0 7 3 145 1264 3216 1460 170
VCDI 0 40 11 63 514 8034 32095 45794


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 09:37:05 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy