Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 1 3 0 5 18 0
OW 0 14 4 18 0 8 23 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 25 15 40 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 37 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 212 184 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1262 12266 17737
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 2 2 0 8 0 0
OW 0 22 6 22 6 23 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 25 37 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 47 120 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 313 119 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 1121 11121 18862
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 7 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 27 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 2 49 2 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 42 39 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 30 178 238 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 456 7674 23202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 2 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 5 43 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 22 64 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 66 60 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 88 277 108 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 546 10018 20667
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 2 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 5 31 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 34 58 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 66 48 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 91 252 112 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 586 10014 20666

Date: 2020-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 3 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 51 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 27 86 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 152 60 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 241 353 103 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 1181 10713 18871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 3 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 43 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 33 89 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 133 42 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 263 285 109 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 1262 10708 18868

Date: 2020-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 7 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 73 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 95 154 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 275 109 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 326 553 150 13
VCDI 0 0 0 5 94 1401 11054 17569
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 8 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 56 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 64 102 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 202 101 29 2
CDI 0 0 0 48 354 395 227 22
VCDI 0 0 0 25 191 1561 10978 17558

Date: 2020-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 4 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 6 115 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 114 197 24 0 1
ODI 0 3 3 54 226 148 28 7
CDI 0 6 1 51 284 606 268 53
VCDI 0 0 0 22 123 1801 9855 17839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 3 28 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 3 88 41 7 6 3
ODI 0 5 2 92 126 88 121 16
CDI 0 8 2 89 324 376 429 106
VCDI 0 8 3 67 393 2108 9595 17775

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 17 81 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 5 131 256 34 0 0
ODI 0 40 1 118 309 132 19 8
CDI 0 18 9 69 301 658 204 15
VCDI 0 6 1 36 268 2728 9735 16593
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 2 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 60 11 8 8 0
ODI 0 17 1 54 47 89 201 32
CDI 0 45 11 103 153 269 511 70
VCDI 0 100 16 218 969 3186 9238 16514


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