Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67785 15418 208 1221 478 99 23 0
OW 51 247 55 734 534 115 33 0
VODI 0 21 5 302 721 292 48 0
ODI 0 6 1 92 400 340 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 386 437 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 405 3339 8167 6841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69092 14467 168 985 451 97 15 0
OW 51 457 60 533 435 105 30 0
VODI 0 101 18 272 723 275 52 0
ODI 0 49 2 87 327 380 58 0
CDI 0 24 9 81 272 523 139 0
VCDI 0 9 6 86 478 3330 8838 6015
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69763 14283 164 790 378 72 17 0
OW 52 393 52 498 426 93 25 0
VODI 0 69 25 310 496 220 84 0
ODI 0 26 8 80 486 381 112 0
CDI 0 21 6 55 344 437 251 0
VCDI 0 1 3 66 578 2801 8386 6848
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69924 14441 196 983 537 56 3 0
OW 52 292 44 391 440 123 8 0
VODI 0 71 14 259 491 229 52 0
ODI 0 42 7 56 424 329 76 0
CDI 0 9 9 57 269 595 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 281 3441 7969 6646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69924 14513 203 1028 603 58 2 0
OW 52 212 38 375 377 115 10 0
VODI 0 76 12 228 475 229 42 0
ODI 0 45 8 56 423 341 78 0
CDI 0 9 9 52 274 564 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 290 3466 8026 6646

Date: 2020-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68648 15681 216 1068 626 64 0 0
OW 56 257 27 356 452 121 8 0
VODI 0 88 21 196 514 274 44 0
ODI 0 49 9 60 385 293 79 0
CDI 0 11 9 69 297 659 174 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 359 3065 7925 6870
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68634 15730 215 1133 678 70 0 0
OW 70 187 29 322 397 111 6 0
VODI 0 103 19 156 523 271 38 0
ODI 0 51 12 61 394 311 78 0
CDI 0 15 5 63 286 617 154 0
VCDI 0 0 2 84 355 3096 7954 6870

Date: 2020-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69004 15139 186 916 477 88 5 0
OW 54 400 64 514 423 65 11 0
VODI 0 22 19 202 699 220 43 0
ODI 0 2 0 50 534 442 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 262 1016 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 239 2125 8705 6860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68989 15224 215 1211 817 136 10 0
OW 69 175 19 231 492 186 26 0
VODI 0 119 19 94 460 446 81 0
ODI 0 41 10 47 289 383 100 0
CDI 0 4 6 58 199 615 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 58 377 2190 8641 6860

Date: 2020-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68697 15649 239 1403 521 36 0 0
OW 69 185 56 504 528 75 3 0
VODI 0 21 5 185 898 173 20 0
ODI 0 2 0 33 621 305 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 417 751 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 424 2997 7860 6171
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68697 15538 243 1548 869 78 0 0
OW 69 201 31 302 630 145 12 0
VODI 0 86 14 151 641 221 56 0
ODI 0 29 9 53 377 298 77 0
CDI 0 3 3 54 351 660 225 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 541 2935 7763 6171

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69973 14778 211 1389 498 2 0 0
OW 71 234 50 473 537 50 0 0
VODI 0 28 12 302 1035 184 16 0
ODI 0 0 1 65 561 265 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 598 755 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 430 2584 7961 5836
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69980 14561 209 1484 769 24 0 0
OW 64 267 26 296 713 112 3 0
VODI 0 148 23 202 722 229 21 0
ODI 0 48 11 123 331 246 42 0
CDI 0 16 3 85 459 508 184 0
VCDI 0 0 2 50 665 2721 7917 5836


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