Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 4 6 0 35 13 0
OW 0 1 1 25 2 36 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 40 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 28 63 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 3 149 115 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 876 9256 21309
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 4 3 0 34 3 0
OW 0 3 3 20 0 28 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 40 35 34 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 41 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 177 59 133
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 786 10341 20261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 4 38 1 0 13 0
OW 0 0 0 18 16 0 18 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 41 1 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 16 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 208 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 374 7610 23523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 4 19 0 26 0 0
OW 0 2 3 22 5 33 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 47 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 24 43 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 112 113 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 698 11176 19582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 5 21 1 31 0 0
OW 0 1 2 26 5 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 44 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 41 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 113 107 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 697 11177 19580

Date: 2020-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 52 3 2 0 14 0 0
OW 0 18 4 18 1 21 8 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 43 40 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 66 115 37 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 58 313 121 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1437 12133 17506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 7 11 0 16 1 0
OW 0 1 0 22 20 20 10 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 25 41 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 56 118 42 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 59 302 142 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 1443 12107 17504

Date: 2020-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 5 40 13 0 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 33 4 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 42 97 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 303 129 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 695 10515 20040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 3 3 0 0 4 0
OW 0 14 5 36 8 3 14 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 39 27 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 37 74 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 239 157 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 756 10462 20037

Date: 2020-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 52 9 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 36 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 61 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 56 29 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 57 160 145 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 520 7706 23176
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 4 1 0 1 0 0
OW 0 12 5 27 0 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 62 40 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 54 61 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 53 106 140 39
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 502 7697 23174

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 3 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 51 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 39 62 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 89 73 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 6 152 335 65 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 757 8207 22073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 4 54 3 2 0 0
OW 0 0 2 34 41 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 104 75 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 75 172 20 2
CDI 0 0 0 3 129 461 176 139
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 440 8076 21967


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