Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68546 14369 185 1037 616 47 12 0
OW 51 334 41 429 807 40 11 0
VODI 0 81 18 222 1025 262 18 0
ODI 0 28 5 73 718 356 37 0
CDI 0 18 4 39 580 690 219 1
VCDI 0 0 1 50 307 2597 9764 5462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68225 14705 218 1266 656 92 6 0
OW 51 268 46 437 873 94 11 0
VODI 0 78 14 197 663 376 33 0
ODI 0 22 6 92 433 393 37 0
CDI 0 9 5 29 521 800 153 10
VCDI 0 0 0 61 348 2341 9488 6043
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67627 15091 200 1216 652 92 4 0
OW 51 235 39 498 620 89 9 0
VODI 0 27 9 176 1162 275 24 0
ODI 0 2 0 53 695 526 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 383 850 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 222 2866 9373 5863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67485 15488 207 1171 555 119 23 0
OW 51 185 48 730 556 131 33 0
VODI 0 23 9 291 764 310 62 0
ODI 0 0 1 72 465 410 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 388 520 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 330 3080 8678 6623
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67485 15532 211 1244 646 136 18 0
OW 51 146 44 668 473 144 36 0
VODI 0 18 10 296 748 298 62 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 479 420 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 374 516 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 338 3056 8683 6623

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68070 15410 191 1038 408 96 17 0
OW 51 354 70 690 457 118 32 0
VODI 0 44 10 301 730 305 62 0
ODI 0 17 3 91 329 390 71 0
CDI 0 0 2 50 286 453 171 4
VCDI 0 0 0 39 504 3399 8689 6148
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68070 15507 198 1075 468 105 17 0
OW 51 265 59 601 438 128 32 0
VODI 0 44 14 355 682 308 59 0
ODI 0 9 5 96 352 418 68 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 289 425 168 2
VCDI 0 0 0 33 485 3377 8698 6150

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69202 14312 145 678 357 77 6 0
OW 52 582 58 540 340 64 27 0
VODI 0 148 34 373 691 247 41 0
ODI 0 42 6 100 608 405 44 0
CDI 0 21 8 50 364 672 153 0
VCDI 0 0 3 65 365 2825 9168 6227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69202 14293 148 828 635 132 20 0
OW 52 587 59 384 364 176 34 0
VODI 0 134 23 342 562 358 73 0
ODI 0 54 12 78 372 405 91 0
CDI 0 33 8 111 346 426 196 0
VCDI 0 4 4 63 446 2793 9025 6227

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70026 14429 193 897 403 50 3 0
OW 52 338 58 397 429 92 11 0
VODI 0 70 15 305 455 238 51 0
ODI 0 42 5 84 421 357 94 0
CDI 0 7 9 53 274 434 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 358 2697 8376 7147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70026 14170 177 802 539 78 8 0
OW 52 508 49 357 326 144 30 0
VODI 0 145 38 341 456 350 75 0
ODI 0 42 8 152 286 351 143 0
CDI 0 19 8 88 299 467 224 0
VCDI 0 2 0 44 434 2478 8237 7147

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68681 15591 188 1037 622 78 1 0
OW 53 282 39 364 452 136 15 0
VODI 0 76 11 209 530 259 66 0
ODI 0 38 11 42 388 316 83 0
CDI 0 5 7 70 248 687 237 2
VCDI 0 0 0 69 312 3070 8464 6361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68681 15269 178 1051 760 96 2 0
OW 53 370 28 278 353 179 29 0
VODI 0 213 17 183 454 337 71 0
ODI 0 111 20 97 286 335 148 0
CDI 0 27 10 91 345 814 313 0
VCDI 0 2 3 91 354 2785 8303 6363


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 09:20:33 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy