Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 7 42 19 0 0 0
OW 0 39 14 44 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 10 108 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 54 137 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 153 211 93 39
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1360 11191 18233
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 0 9 32 25 0 0
OW 0 30 3 18 20 8 0 0
VODI 0 4 5 67 62 15 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 39 137 54 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 72 189 181 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 1222 10526 19240
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 2 4 15 46 0 0
OW 0 18 3 24 25 17 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 14 65 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 57 104 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 240 174 49
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 594 6007 24498
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 3 5 0 58 0 0
OW 0 8 4 18 0 37 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 33 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 30 63 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 162 30 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 665 6863 23914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 2 2 0 62 0 0
OW 0 9 3 17 0 38 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 30 22 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 54 66 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 122 10 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 700 6883 23916

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 4 1 0 42 0 0
OW 0 1 2 23 1 36 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 37 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 33 70 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 236 106 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1006 11134 19218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 4 1 0 44 0 0
OW 0 2 2 19 0 32 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 24 16 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 52 76 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 221 94 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1018 11145 19216

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 5 26 0 13 6 0
OW 0 0 1 26 18 12 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 43 36 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 70 3 17
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 96 142
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 496 10821 20031
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 4 5 0 22 8 0
OW 0 3 2 18 0 21 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 27 12 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 50 31 4 32
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 120 95 123
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 574 10821 20035

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 4 22 3 3 12 0
OW 0 0 0 13 21 15 9 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 41 42 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 7 58 13 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 19 83 139 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 366 9225 21924
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 1 7 0 10 16 0
OW 0 4 3 12 0 16 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 16 37 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 52 42 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 12 88 101 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 374 9268 21919

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 1 3 0 5 18 0
OW 0 14 4 18 0 8 23 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 25 15 40 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 37 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 212 184 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1262 12266 17737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 0 0 0 20 41 0
OW 0 15 1 1 0 6 28 0
VODI 0 18 0 11 4 7 38 0
ODI 0 11 4 34 23 11 33 1
CDI 0 0 0 10 41 177 169 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 1318 12254 17728


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