Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 36 12 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 15 206 141 96
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 1106 7021 37136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 22 173 112 68
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 1162 11215 33032
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 76 52 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 80 214 62 67
VCDI 0 0 0 0 114 1686 10678 32799
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 14 38 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 61 66 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 190 338 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 226 1898 14610 28265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 35 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 56 66 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 183 318 104 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 244 1921 14631 28264

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 42 35 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 90 79 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 171 362 141 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 218 2066 13274 29312
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 17 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 19 29 37 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 81 77 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 171 323 107 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 228 2106 13306 29322

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 48 46 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 91 187 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 183 575 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 212 1945 13859 28473
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 37 30 17 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 51 148 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 89 349 134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 354 2223 13922 28473

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 63 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 32 134 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 79 393 200 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 166 1819 13152 29780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 46 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 16 95 12 5
CDI 0 0 0 0 36 246 161 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 233 2030 13202 29775

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 8 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 89 10 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 151 57 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 192 234 54 29
VCDI 0 0 0 10 393 1617 8415 34549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 23 4 1 8
ODI 0 0 0 0 80 4 3 22
CDI 0 0 0 0 143 83 28 44
VCDI 0 0 0 32 576 1827 8441 34504


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