Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68546 14459 192 1079 635 47 12 0
OW 51 373 55 473 815 40 11 0
VODI 0 138 28 330 1095 263 18 0
ODI 0 33 6 127 891 389 52 0
CDI 0 18 4 42 748 1107 453 136
VCDI 0 0 1 50 461 5063 27976 60831
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68225 14759 218 1275 688 117 6 0
OW 51 298 49 455 893 102 11 0
VODI 0 82 19 264 725 391 33 0
ODI 0 23 6 131 580 465 68 0
CDI 0 9 5 40 615 1162 446 79
VCDI 0 0 0 61 428 4725 31229 58315
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67627 15162 202 1220 667 138 4 0
OW 51 253 42 522 645 106 9 0
VODI 0 30 9 190 1227 316 24 0
ODI 0 2 0 53 828 682 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 464 1304 338 116
VCDI 0 0 0 5 336 5146 26058 63160
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67485 15526 210 1176 555 177 23 0
OW 51 193 52 748 556 168 33 0
VODI 0 23 9 319 811 391 70 0
ODI 0 0 1 73 556 539 110 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 605 1020 338 38
VCDI 0 0 0 7 568 5643 30151 58802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67485 15567 213 1246 646 198 18 0
OW 51 155 47 685 473 182 36 0
VODI 0 20 12 326 778 373 71 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 589 552 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 571 956 305 37
VCDI 0 0 0 8 594 5677 30197 58803

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68070 15438 195 1039 408 138 17 0
OW 51 355 72 713 458 157 32 0
VODI 0 44 10 324 787 385 97 0
ODI 0 17 3 93 452 539 116 0
CDI 0 0 2 50 465 1051 418 40
VCDI 0 0 0 39 727 6471 33097 54678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68070 15534 202 1076 468 149 17 0
OW 51 267 61 620 438 177 36 0
VODI 0 44 14 379 717 374 96 0
ODI 0 9 5 101 485 571 110 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 471 969 369 30
VCDI 0 0 0 33 718 6501 33149 54688

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69202 14344 150 704 357 90 12 0
OW 52 582 59 566 365 77 30 0
VODI 0 148 34 375 782 329 43 0
ODI 0 42 6 100 702 662 61 17
CDI 0 21 8 50 547 1426 473 142
VCDI 0 0 3 65 577 5266 33848 54731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69202 14322 152 833 635 154 28 0
OW 52 590 61 402 374 201 36 0
VODI 0 134 23 369 611 426 90 0
ODI 0 54 12 82 473 584 120 32
CDI 0 33 8 111 436 895 425 123
VCDI 0 4 4 63 801 5590 33768 54735

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70026 14458 197 919 406 53 15 0
OW 52 338 58 410 450 121 20 0
VODI 0 70 15 305 504 343 55 0
ODI 0 42 5 85 460 549 130 1
CDI 0 7 9 53 372 910 521 21
VCDI 0 0 0 48 534 4882 30753 58851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70026 14195 178 809 539 88 24 0
OW 52 512 52 369 326 166 34 0
VODI 0 145 38 356 472 433 79 0
ODI 0 42 8 153 354 488 164 5
CDI 0 19 8 89 347 801 486 27
VCDI 0 2 0 44 688 4882 30707 58841

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68681 15646 189 1040 622 83 19 0
OW 53 296 43 382 460 147 38 0
VODI 0 76 11 273 644 284 108 0
ODI 0 38 11 46 564 410 117 0
CDI 0 5 7 88 474 1133 475 46
VCDI 0 0 0 79 719 5949 29145 58647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68681 15294 178 1051 760 116 43 0
OW 53 385 29 280 364 188 57 0
VODI 0 231 17 222 481 348 110 8
ODI 0 122 24 131 389 350 184 23
CDI 0 27 10 101 529 1074 510 67
VCDI 0 2 3 123 960 5930 28998 58595


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