Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 21 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 29 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 17 64 24 0 0
CDI 0 19 2 12 47 141 64 10
VCDI 0 107 6 117 224 1366 10471 19154
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 1 5 9 0 0 0
OW 0 16 3 13 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 40 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 15 31 23 1 0
CDI 0 13 1 8 60 196 77 25
VCDI 0 38 6 88 118 1602 9293 20318
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 8 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 3 34 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 29 29 8 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 10 41 35 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 23 105 99 34 12
VCDI 0 9 1 50 119 757 10116 20427
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 7 18 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 3 29 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 13 32 34 1 0
CDI 0 11 2 10 42 102 154 21
VCDI 0 6 5 43 170 633 9899 20717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 4 20 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 4 24 25 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 12 28 40 3 0
CDI 0 13 3 10 42 99 162 23
VCDI 0 3 4 43 170 628 9889 20715

Date: 2020-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 1 11 2 0 0 0
OW 0 16 6 11 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 34 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 20 28 10 3 0
CDI 0 6 4 13 40 157 151 65
VCDI 0 0 1 60 189 1101 10507 19560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 2 13 3 0 0 0
OW 0 16 5 12 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 32 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 18 19 11 3 0
CDI 0 6 3 16 41 156 158 67
VCDI 0 0 2 58 193 1101 10500 19558

Date: 2020-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 11 35 8 0 0 0
OW 0 18 4 34 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 6 29 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 32 111 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 62 193 74 64
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 874 8809 21462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 4 17 5 0 0 0
OW 0 25 7 18 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 29 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 24 40 20 0 0
CDI 0 5 4 24 44 147 61 92
VCDI 0 0 1 35 138 988 8822 21434

Date: 2020-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 15 47 9 0 0 0
OW 0 38 4 39 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 2 89 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 40 156 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 152 121 68 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 997 10374 19625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 10 26 4 0 0 0
OW 0 31 4 24 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 4 45 28 4 0 0
ODI 0 28 3 46 90 20 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 41 105 74 63 2
VCDI 0 0 0 52 216 1035 10379 19629

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 7 42 19 0 0 0
OW 0 39 14 44 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 10 108 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 54 137 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 153 211 93 39
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1360 11191 18233
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 7 43 16 0 0 0
OW 0 42 11 42 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 8 84 74 10 0 0
ODI 0 22 5 26 104 37 5 0
CDI 0 2 1 39 89 202 106 23
VCDI 0 0 0 17 169 1344 11173 18249


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