Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68581 14823 187 947 521 129 2 0
OW 52 307 37 377 369 128 15 0
VODI 0 133 17 307 557 177 44 0
ODI 0 25 10 118 438 221 63 0
CDI 0 10 5 42 442 519 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 360 2643 8475 7803
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68572 14792 177 925 516 149 7 0
OW 52 425 43 351 349 124 23 0
VODI 0 165 20 342 536 198 68 0
ODI 0 31 11 126 458 176 115 0
CDI 0 6 6 75 420 373 220 0
VCDI 0 0 1 28 424 2307 8074 8415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68437 14916 147 671 378 84 4 0
OW 52 478 60 501 248 55 18 0
VODI 0 139 31 435 572 110 57 0
ODI 0 19 15 141 620 314 78 0
CDI 0 2 4 44 554 956 282 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 200 1462 8452 8544
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 14832 136 651 382 122 7 0
OW 52 457 72 505 239 80 24 0
VODI 0 127 20 393 632 169 72 0
ODI 0 18 6 119 558 273 127 0
CDI 0 0 3 82 529 685 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 291 1687 8852 7800
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 14837 144 727 415 121 6 0
OW 52 443 61 478 262 86 28 0
VODI 0 133 22 340 627 162 73 0
ODI 0 21 7 108 546 287 107 0
CDI 0 0 3 93 484 663 341 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 297 1697 8837 7800

Date: 2020-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69490 14618 143 628 268 65 5 0
OW 52 428 73 554 312 60 23 0
VODI 0 141 35 395 582 165 60 0
ODI 0 23 15 198 531 306 89 0
CDI 0 0 0 95 525 537 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 418 2052 9335 6658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69490 14598 158 729 341 71 5 0
OW 52 442 55 456 294 62 21 0
VODI 0 143 35 400 565 169 60 0
ODI 0 25 17 188 511 322 82 0
CDI 0 2 1 92 497 524 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 428 2037 9331 6658

Date: 2020-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68943 14824 127 580 189 36 1 0
OW 54 548 72 451 215 32 2 0
VODI 0 217 58 667 586 72 18 0
ODI 0 7 1 235 726 222 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 585 724 135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 435 2453 9423 6342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68945 14925 154 681 317 84 9 0
OW 52 422 54 515 284 69 20 0
VODI 0 189 31 416 518 189 66 0
ODI 0 50 10 188 482 276 98 0
CDI 0 10 9 120 528 574 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 88 607 2347 9247 6342

Date: 2020-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68157 15509 126 702 289 85 4 0
OW 52 477 46 324 299 55 13 0
VODI 0 205 46 313 564 81 29 0
ODI 0 54 13 219 457 192 42 0
CDI 0 25 10 123 473 668 235 0
VCDI 0 5 0 62 600 3373 10579 4594
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68157 15458 149 895 501 220 56 0
OW 52 389 36 241 428 117 63 0
VODI 0 253 19 250 509 247 130 0
ODI 0 74 14 123 383 319 184 0
CDI 0 75 15 110 348 537 336 1
VCDI 0 26 8 124 513 3014 10133 4593

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67250 15898 181 826 319 82 1 0
OW 52 349 46 544 327 55 7 0
VODI 0 127 21 358 673 108 20 0
ODI 0 14 8 174 479 254 47 0
CDI 0 6 2 85 547 740 192 1
VCDI 0 11 2 44 475 4032 9707 5036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67250 15649 198 1172 777 271 28 0
OW 52 383 19 322 452 208 30 0
VODI 0 273 16 189 482 397 88 0
ODI 0 62 12 129 388 402 119 0
CDI 0 23 12 136 352 607 249 1
VCDI 0 15 3 83 369 3386 9460 5036


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