Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 83 4 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 43 6 52 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 3 100 343 27 0 0
ODI 0 17 0 38 134 215 47 0
CDI 0 15 0 49 167 387 308 19
VCDI 0 0 0 27 272 1219 10832 17607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 2 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 1 25 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 3 65 186 9 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 19 255 183 10 3
CDI 0 29 3 24 135 408 127 20
VCDI 0 27 6 97 250 1347 9680 19000
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 1 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 15 2 41 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 37 41 55 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 21 33 430 31 2
CDI 0 13 3 20 59 519 359 39
VCDI 0 4 0 41 149 1086 11524 17455
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 2 6 3 0 0 0
OW 0 23 3 14 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 56 16 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 11 56 7 13 0
CDI 0 6 0 6 35 284 175 64
VCDI 0 1 2 30 104 1173 9781 20150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 2 6 2 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 10 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 2 56 16 3 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 15 55 8 23 0
CDI 0 5 0 5 36 181 173 73
VCDI 0 2 2 31 103 1275 9773 20141

Date: 2020-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 0 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 37 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 23 33 8 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 18 86 69 20 1
VCDI 0 28 7 90 186 744 7704 22911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 0 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 34 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 29 27 8 0 0
CDI 0 13 0 19 94 73 20 1
VCDI 0 28 7 90 185 740 7704 22911

Date: 2020-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 1 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 17 1 32 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 20 51 4 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 25 63 28 0 0
CDI 0 17 3 56 100 47 18 56
VCDI 0 9 0 5 159 419 5492 25341
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 1 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 0 9 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 1 21 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 1 29 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 11 66 21 38 14
VCDI 0 19 3 77 278 477 5472 25383

Date: 2020-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 6 39 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 2 36 67 1 0 0
ODI 0 22 1 10 45 10 0 0
CDI 0 27 2 8 48 97 96 69
VCDI 0 58 5 74 221 1203 8556 21255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 3 6 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 6 24 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 36 24 6 9 0
CDI 0 19 4 34 57 59 85 82
VCDI 0 8 4 68 267 1246 8558 21242

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 21 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 29 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 17 64 24 0 0
CDI 0 19 2 12 47 141 64 10
VCDI 0 107 6 117 224 1366 10471 19154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 4 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 4 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 4 25 40 2 0 0
ODI 0 44 3 20 36 21 0 0
CDI 0 22 3 35 54 128 38 21
VCDI 0 8 1 100 245 1380 10497 19143


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