Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70236 13930 156 789 405 45 0 0
OW 52 579 41 300 246 37 1 0
VODI 0 248 44 404 431 97 9 0
ODI 0 25 15 247 500 132 28 0
CDI 0 14 0 135 651 431 188 0
VCDI 0 0 3 18 827 3667 8810 5359
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69341 14489 169 897 562 55 0 0
OW 52 522 38 275 281 74 0 0
VODI 0 213 43 430 355 152 13 0
ODI 0 26 14 309 417 214 34 0
CDI 0 13 4 151 569 479 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 806 2970 7692 7198
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68756 14966 181 887 556 56 0 0
OW 57 356 54 421 339 65 3 0
VODI 0 136 36 372 455 128 9 0
ODI 0 18 13 165 498 198 12 0
CDI 0 0 1 60 706 572 134 1
VCDI 0 0 0 5 442 3208 9692 5542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68789 14891 198 873 508 80 0 0
OW 51 288 42 442 341 91 8 0
VODI 0 112 20 407 467 150 29 0
ODI 0 18 8 135 449 201 51 0
CDI 0 0 4 38 554 514 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 509 2740 8192 7746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68789 14919 193 875 518 78 0 0
OW 51 269 45 428 275 88 6 0
VODI 0 110 25 416 487 144 27 0
ODI 0 11 7 142 447 163 49 0
CDI 0 0 2 38 555 471 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 546 2832 8216 7746

Date: 2020-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 14640 186 865 537 169 20 0
OW 52 357 27 392 317 109 45 0
VODI 0 142 20 332 573 181 73 0
ODI 0 35 8 123 451 192 89 0
CDI 0 11 5 39 414 367 259 0
VCDI 0 3 2 36 401 2539 8530 7830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 14668 184 898 558 167 19 0
OW 52 330 30 357 270 113 37 0
VODI 0 141 20 335 525 166 73 0
ODI 0 34 6 124 491 175 88 0
CDI 0 14 6 36 439 368 239 0
VCDI 0 1 2 37 410 2568 8560 7830

Date: 2020-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 14820 137 633 389 117 5 0
OW 52 559 58 485 180 76 14 0
VODI 0 142 39 473 579 130 47 0
ODI 0 17 9 171 689 229 76 0
CDI 0 0 4 54 507 710 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 255 1664 8147 8846
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 14913 174 931 622 219 12 0
OW 52 420 28 314 287 141 36 0
VODI 0 160 27 310 417 192 97 0
ODI 0 38 10 157 435 190 128 0
CDI 0 7 6 77 427 366 255 0
VCDI 0 0 2 29 411 1818 7998 8846

Date: 2020-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68834 14649 124 543 405 129 13 0
OW 52 514 54 425 251 86 24 0
VODI 0 138 35 349 582 153 76 0
ODI 0 20 8 147 526 342 109 0
CDI 0 5 6 82 498 1039 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 292 1165 7533 9460
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68834 14676 151 695 670 271 36 0
OW 52 514 43 317 251 153 59 0
VODI 0 119 26 332 442 183 142 0
ODI 0 17 5 141 426 270 191 0
CDI 0 0 2 48 421 777 425 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 344 1260 7317 9460

Date: 2020-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 15201 149 620 332 85 4 0
OW 52 458 79 486 283 68 24 0
VODI 0 97 28 452 579 162 54 0
ODI 0 15 6 185 568 277 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 559 573 165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 461 2151 9434 6519
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 14775 135 701 635 201 18 0
OW 52 706 57 300 187 168 32 0
VODI 0 246 56 412 393 202 93 0
ODI 0 43 12 260 490 208 156 0
CDI 0 1 2 145 615 607 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 462 1930 9215 6519


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