Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 0 19 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 0 12 112 5 0 0
ODI 0 53 4 4 149 73 1 0
CDI 0 70 12 78 50 239 53 72
VCDI 0 163 24 131 236 1179 8170 21024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 19 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 7 101 80 14 0 0
ODI 0 67 11 106 63 59 3 2
CDI 0 118 4 46 147 121 17 79
VCDI 0 255 21 150 311 1377 7532 21074
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 163 3 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 245 16 76 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 16 114 117 13 4 0
ODI 0 76 11 153 165 102 19 0
CDI 0 89 18 171 275 297 95 10
VCDI 0 1 2 37 236 1488 9805 18067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 0 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 15 137 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 281 162 7 0 1
ODI 0 13 0 87 222 109 23 6
CDI 0 10 1 77 289 340 212 30
VCDI 0 1 0 51 279 1513 10551 17465
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 6 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 9 197 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 3 190 155 20 0 1
ODI 0 10 0 70 178 127 27 6
CDI 0 14 1 81 282 335 225 33
VCDI 0 3 0 58 298 1487 10534 17462

Date: 2020-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 4 16 1 0 0 0
OW 0 37 5 38 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 201 225 3 0 0
ODI 0 36 2 12 240 147 18 5
CDI 0 39 5 51 158 378 194 11
VCDI 0 16 5 59 287 1201 9924 18652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 3 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 5 77 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 3 162 261 10 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 10 215 143 20 5
CDI 0 40 5 35 152 378 220 12
VCDI 0 27 6 75 282 1198 9896 18651

Date: 2020-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 1 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 26 2 41 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 4 45 138 27 0 0
ODI 0 28 2 18 222 378 20 0
CDI 0 39 4 45 137 716 196 19
VCDI 0 6 3 57 184 1406 11332 16865
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 1 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 1 28 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 1 40 139 4 0 0
ODI 0 16 3 22 197 220 9 0
CDI 0 22 1 5 85 456 114 14
VCDI 0 62 9 116 265 1847 11425 16870

Date: 2020-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 1 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 7 22 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 55 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 11 60 124 54 0
CDI 0 12 1 19 24 503 266 54
VCDI 0 11 3 44 149 806 10270 19458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 1 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 1 10 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 6 42 8 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 29 48 134 47 2
CDI 0 6 0 11 51 390 261 64
VCDI 0 22 4 61 154 902 10282 19446

Date: 2020-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 1 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 2 20 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 37 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 7 55 7 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 4 64 131 77 22
VCDI 0 0 3 24 110 907 8468 22049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 1 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 2 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 39 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 12 50 0 14 0
CDI 0 6 1 3 78 140 95 45
VCDI 0 0 3 25 109 905 8436 22026


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