Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70236 13970 156 790 405 45 0 0
OW 52 607 41 319 253 37 1 0
VODI 0 321 44 416 543 102 9 0
ODI 0 78 19 251 649 205 29 0
CDI 0 84 12 213 720 707 259 134
VCDI 0 163 27 149 1081 5746 23967 64208
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69341 14568 169 898 562 55 0 0
OW 52 586 41 294 284 74 0 0
VODI 0 361 50 531 435 166 13 0
ODI 0 93 25 415 480 273 37 2
CDI 0 131 8 197 716 600 218 100
VCDI 0 255 21 200 1117 4979 19995 68706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68756 15129 184 935 556 56 0 0
OW 57 601 70 497 352 65 3 0
VODI 0 273 52 486 572 141 13 0
ODI 0 94 24 318 663 300 31 0
CDI 0 89 19 231 981 895 239 19
VCDI 0 1 2 42 678 5350 23057 65217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68789 14976 198 903 508 80 0 0
OW 51 345 57 579 346 91 8 0
VODI 0 132 23 688 629 157 29 1
ODI 0 31 8 222 671 310 74 6
CDI 0 10 5 115 843 856 358 34
VCDI 0 1 0 64 788 4729 23838 65495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68789 15033 199 942 518 78 0 0
OW 51 296 54 625 319 88 6 0
VODI 0 128 28 606 642 164 27 1
ODI 0 21 7 212 625 290 76 6
CDI 0 14 3 119 837 811 356 40
VCDI 0 3 0 67 844 4792 23842 65489

Date: 2020-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 14713 190 881 538 169 20 0
OW 52 394 32 430 325 109 45 0
VODI 0 171 22 533 798 184 73 0
ODI 0 71 10 135 691 339 107 5
CDI 0 50 10 90 572 750 474 37
VCDI 0 19 7 95 688 4071 24402 66017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 14740 187 916 559 167 19 0
OW 52 369 35 434 278 113 37 0
VODI 0 168 23 497 786 176 73 0
ODI 0 59 7 134 706 318 108 5
CDI 0 54 11 71 591 750 488 35
VCDI 0 28 8 112 692 4098 24396 66019

Date: 2020-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 14882 138 645 390 117 5 0
OW 52 585 60 526 193 76 14 0
VODI 0 175 43 518 717 157 47 0
ODI 0 45 11 189 911 607 96 0
CDI 0 39 8 99 644 1427 447 52
VCDI 0 6 3 59 439 3295 24220 66563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 14959 175 938 622 219 12 0
OW 52 445 29 342 296 141 36 0
VODI 0 183 28 350 556 196 97 0
ODI 0 54 13 179 632 410 137 0
CDI 0 29 7 82 512 823 386 30
VCDI 0 62 11 145 676 3890 24161 66585

Date: 2020-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68834 14691 125 553 405 129 13 0
OW 52 541 61 447 256 86 24 0
VODI 0 146 36 404 607 153 76 0
ODI 0 29 9 158 586 466 163 0
CDI 0 17 7 101 522 1555 688 83
VCDI 0 11 3 61 441 2356 20897 71256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68834 14712 152 703 670 271 36 0
OW 52 532 44 327 253 153 59 0
VODI 0 139 32 374 450 190 142 0
ODI 0 24 7 170 474 404 238 2
CDI 0 6 2 59 472 1181 689 68
VCDI 0 22 4 91 498 2546 20697 71269

Date: 2020-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 15238 150 625 332 85 4 0
OW 52 468 81 506 285 68 24 0
VODI 0 103 29 489 596 162 54 0
ODI 0 22 8 192 623 284 84 8
CDI 0 6 1 96 623 707 242 86
VCDI 0 0 3 51 571 3385 20358 71576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68771 14811 136 705 635 201 18 0
OW 52 716 59 314 187 168 32 0
VODI 0 252 57 451 404 202 93 0
ODI 0 51 14 272 540 208 170 0
CDI 0 7 3 148 693 760 349 140
VCDI 0 0 3 69 571 3152 20104 71530


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 08:55:22 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy