Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 20 68 10 0 0
ODI 0 22 2 23 90 42 2 0
CDI 0 23 3 73 84 202 100 4
VCDI 0 60 12 152 194 966 9384 20493
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 11 67 9 0 0
ODI 0 23 3 18 79 46 1 5
CDI 0 14 4 61 69 200 42 65
VCDI 0 63 10 145 166 650 8411 21852
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 1 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 6 81 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 96 16 92 103 55 1 0
CDI 0 160 11 39 108 181 57 24
VCDI 0 19 3 80 189 774 8322 21443
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 0 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 0 20 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 0 29 97 12 0 0
ODI 0 68 11 29 106 87 12 1
CDI 0 92 14 101 65 216 139 68
VCDI 0 136 15 134 265 1257 8220 20726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 0 11 3 0 0 0
OW 0 28 0 16 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 0 24 104 14 0 0
ODI 0 52 7 25 87 81 8 0
CDI 0 110 18 100 60 205 117 75
VCDI 0 140 15 141 273 1272 8246 20720

Date: 2020-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 0 26 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 0 61 94 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 1 103 94 56 2 0
CDI 0 87 9 47 144 130 17 64
VCDI 0 182 22 195 280 1251 7440 21544
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 0 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 0 22 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 0 96 82 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 1 60 113 49 1 0
CDI 0 74 6 28 118 120 10 64
VCDI 0 188 25 219 297 1268 7448 21544

Date: 2020-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 1 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 230 12 85 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 16 152 126 4 0 0
ODI 0 98 13 123 164 67 17 0
CDI 0 157 16 80 188 344 100 7
VCDI 0 19 4 35 179 1152 8229 20140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 1 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 133 2 30 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 225 17 115 96 18 0 0
ODI 0 81 9 85 68 68 9 0
CDI 0 91 3 64 133 147 88 12
VCDI 0 208 30 197 365 1334 8249 20135

Date: 2020-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 4 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 24 136 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 11 203 185 15 0 4
ODI 0 14 3 109 217 115 10 4
CDI 0 24 4 154 299 365 127 142
VCDI 0 0 0 30 223 1642 9101 18602
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 2 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 6 43 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 25 245 101 5 0 3
ODI 0 24 10 121 161 94 6 4
CDI 0 14 3 136 223 266 76 62
VCDI 0 1 0 127 456 1772 9156 18683

Date: 2020-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 83 4 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 43 6 52 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 3 100 343 27 0 0
ODI 0 17 0 38 134 215 47 0
CDI 0 15 0 49 167 387 308 19
VCDI 0 0 0 27 272 1219 10832 17607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 64 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 0 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 10 128 178 20 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 51 220 111 8 1
CDI 0 4 0 45 225 337 225 5
VCDI 0 0 0 37 315 1380 10954 17620


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