Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70678 14336 151 538 216 38 0 0
OW 52 511 66 439 249 24 0 0
VODI 0 150 40 519 522 142 4 0
ODI 0 42 9 194 670 228 99 0
CDI 0 23 7 86 616 600 144 0
VCDI 0 0 2 56 714 3472 9359 4104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70736 14274 142 584 180 7 0 0
OW 52 564 66 432 234 22 0 0
VODI 0 206 58 467 493 154 17 0
ODI 0 71 20 256 577 168 96 0
CDI 0 15 5 188 653 505 64 0
VCDI 0 4 1 56 1039 3660 7367 5667
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70392 14540 164 749 271 38 0 0
OW 53 445 59 482 298 23 0 0
VODI 0 264 42 396 489 88 3 0
ODI 0 135 16 237 560 211 36 0
CDI 0 42 10 174 634 603 201 0
VCDI 0 8 3 106 855 3516 6960 5997
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70766 14249 135 687 311 14 0 0
OW 54 544 48 395 232 22 0 0
VODI 0 230 46 448 455 73 0 0
ODI 0 120 11 188 590 144 1 0
CDI 0 81 8 102 711 594 93 0
VCDI 0 16 8 123 812 4012 7717 5060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70767 14279 141 746 317 21 0 0
OW 53 533 48 368 248 22 0 0
VODI 0 214 42 415 460 71 0 0
ODI 0 107 7 188 585 151 1 0
CDI 0 87 9 94 686 588 124 0
VCDI 0 20 9 132 815 4006 7686 5060

Date: 2020-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71213 13942 139 634 287 20 0 0
OW 51 479 51 337 255 32 0 0
VODI 0 213 30 392 395 91 2 0
ODI 0 59 20 216 546 157 34 0
CDI 0 35 4 183 709 424 142 0
VCDI 0 0 1 82 1050 2846 7778 6251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71213 14025 154 659 290 25 0 0
OW 51 397 35 316 244 34 0 0
VODI 0 202 29 385 419 90 4 0
ODI 0 71 19 212 568 153 38 0
CDI 0 33 8 158 639 419 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 114 1082 2849 7789 6251

Date: 2020-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71072 13851 128 602 280 25 0 0
OW 51 625 71 432 219 28 0 0
VODI 0 208 45 534 595 87 0 0
ODI 0 18 7 202 626 239 15 0
CDI 0 3 2 88 698 625 211 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 473 2226 8011 6787
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71072 13815 151 687 392 63 0 0
OW 51 458 44 311 233 82 2 0
VODI 0 251 23 323 393 142 45 0
ODI 0 111 15 234 543 201 101 0
CDI 0 68 16 163 552 501 139 0
VCDI 0 2 4 156 778 2241 7950 6787

Date: 2020-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70676 13777 144 711 361 17 0 0
OW 58 547 48 345 238 27 0 0
VODI 0 250 39 403 454 77 0 0
ODI 0 92 7 216 520 146 12 0
CDI 0 10 6 100 651 703 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 548 4516 9038 4156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70675 13602 144 730 501 44 0 0
OW 57 556 37 254 232 80 2 0
VODI 2 307 34 373 385 140 12 0
ODI 0 101 17 239 473 203 58 0
CDI 0 65 6 112 575 678 170 0
VCDI 0 45 6 103 606 4341 8979 4156

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70236 13930 156 789 405 45 0 0
OW 52 579 41 300 246 37 1 0
VODI 0 248 44 404 431 97 9 0
ODI 0 25 15 247 500 132 28 0
CDI 0 14 0 135 651 431 188 0
VCDI 0 0 3 18 827 3667 8810 5359
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70236 13795 156 827 616 79 2 0
OW 52 548 33 215 239 76 5 0
VODI 0 269 35 366 358 129 30 0
ODI 0 139 14 222 380 204 98 0
CDI 0 26 16 164 543 466 153 0
VCDI 0 19 5 99 924 3455 8748 5359


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