Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 10 8 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 39 65 65 9
VCDI 0 0 0 2 322 799 8828 21883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 30 60 65 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 582 7932 23292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 5 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 14 7 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 28 34 51 58
VCDI 0 0 0 159 249 487 9263 21623
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 1 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 1 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 13 43 2 0 0
ODI 0 25 0 12 53 42 0 0
CDI 0 48 5 46 54 162 44 3
VCDI 0 77 8 183 193 998 9340 20691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 1 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 12 54 6 0 0
ODI 0 24 1 9 51 53 1 0
CDI 0 57 4 44 44 162 47 4
VCDI 0 69 8 188 194 983 9336 20690

Date: 2020-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 3 12 81 10 0 0
ODI 0 19 0 12 83 54 7 0
CDI 0 16 3 63 87 228 92 12
VCDI 0 57 12 130 191 833 9199 20824
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 7 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 11 97 10 2 0
ODI 0 22 1 13 69 67 9 0
CDI 0 20 3 35 61 233 98 9
VCDI 0 56 12 161 211 814 9189 20827

Date: 2020-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 3 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 4 77 66 4 0 0
ODI 0 43 13 86 150 64 1 1
CDI 0 58 4 82 110 195 50 73
VCDI 0 8 1 15 81 607 7807 22339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 2 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 0 9 63 8 0 0
ODI 0 31 2 7 86 48 0 3
CDI 0 37 4 59 70 138 50 93
VCDI 0 119 18 190 185 676 7808 22317

Date: 2020-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 0 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 3 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 6 104 58 9 0 0
ODI 0 122 14 86 116 73 4 0
CDI 0 175 3 12 128 214 72 58
VCDI 0 97 11 100 230 1311 8202 20666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 2 9 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 99 30 15 0 0
ODI 0 46 5 36 81 61 6 0
CDI 0 104 3 28 132 140 71 51
VCDI 0 335 26 169 284 1391 8201 20673

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 0 19 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 0 12 112 5 0 0
ODI 0 53 4 4 149 73 1 0
CDI 0 70 12 78 50 239 53 72
VCDI 0 163 24 131 236 1179 8170 21024
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 0 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 0 13 91 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 8 110 53 7 16
CDI 0 61 3 3 128 218 116 155
VCDI 0 283 36 210 224 1225 8101 20925


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