Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71489 13764 164 610 285 27 0 0
OW 62 437 66 477 344 62 0 0
VODI 0 151 37 400 591 200 15 0
ODI 0 42 7 191 535 236 130 0
CDI 0 21 4 73 623 561 154 0
VCDI 0 11 6 63 724 2827 8386 5325
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71340 13765 151 478 184 56 0 0
OW 61 651 75 391 244 41 2 0
VODI 0 337 44 457 469 138 9 0
ODI 0 95 25 198 580 225 127 0
CDI 0 41 7 130 668 520 141 0
VCDI 0 7 5 93 627 3896 8354 4468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70832 14360 145 568 207 35 0 0
OW 53 565 94 432 196 14 0 0
VODI 0 247 51 620 491 66 0 0
ODI 0 97 16 300 675 202 11 0
CDI 0 75 12 109 678 587 249 0
VCDI 0 1 0 59 850 4020 8521 3662
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70695 14341 139 557 180 29 0 0
OW 52 514 75 459 183 18 0 0
VODI 0 215 58 576 451 91 0 0
ODI 0 66 13 269 648 215 35 0
CDI 0 16 9 147 619 517 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 872 3184 8887 4713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70695 14375 134 554 200 32 0 0
OW 52 485 85 437 175 16 0 0
VODI 0 210 54 586 411 94 0 0
ODI 0 61 11 276 627 217 34 0
CDI 0 21 10 148 622 445 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 918 3250 8901 4713

Date: 2020-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70849 14213 149 537 155 3 0 0
OW 52 561 64 427 252 5 0 0
VODI 0 154 59 552 530 90 0 0
ODI 0 58 16 242 596 247 77 0
CDI 0 25 4 104 670 495 79 0
VCDI 0 0 1 50 880 3832 7546 5526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70849 14244 147 528 154 3 0 0
OW 52 509 75 429 242 3 0 0
VODI 0 167 51 531 498 121 3 0
ODI 0 56 15 262 576 202 55 0
CDI 0 28 2 101 695 472 114 0
VCDI 0 7 3 61 918 3871 7530 5526

Date: 2020-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70407 14414 159 710 203 29 0 0
OW 51 506 73 535 262 13 0 0
VODI 0 211 45 524 682 65 0 0
ODI 0 45 13 218 816 214 31 0
CDI 0 8 1 71 726 682 238 0
VCDI 0 2 2 42 595 3138 7435 5934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70406 14326 158 695 277 46 0 0
OW 52 433 44 407 221 58 2 0
VODI 0 280 45 408 421 137 71 0
ODI 0 101 33 265 564 136 108 0
CDI 0 38 10 216 813 405 79 0
VCDI 0 8 3 109 988 3359 7444 5934

Date: 2020-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70793 14157 146 731 310 16 0 0
OW 69 495 53 410 266 20 0 0
VODI 7 275 36 344 515 89 0 0
ODI 2 136 9 202 568 188 0 0
CDI 0 119 11 122 706 583 153 0
VCDI 0 20 6 160 880 4133 7239 5131
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70771 13689 136 698 370 30 0 0
OW 74 638 30 285 214 44 0 0
VODI 16 367 46 324 416 126 11 0
ODI 10 195 17 189 429 199 103 0
CDI 0 186 17 197 714 463 80 0
VCDI 0 127 15 276 1102 4167 7198 5131

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70777 14292 152 658 279 11 0 0
OW 52 501 45 399 244 18 0 0
VODI 0 199 35 439 474 57 0 0
ODI 0 65 15 209 612 127 2 0
CDI 0 34 5 153 725 418 93 0
VCDI 0 4 0 82 967 3674 8524 4759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70777 13875 133 742 502 30 0 0
OW 52 659 32 230 264 63 0 0
VODI 0 344 42 297 388 123 2 0
ODI 0 134 30 279 432 123 21 0
CDI 0 52 13 227 589 317 146 0
VCDI 0 31 2 165 1126 3649 8450 4759


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