Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-02-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 10 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 19 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 27 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 63 35 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 307 4461 27083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 1 9 2 0 0 0
OW 0 9 2 7 5 0 4 0
VODI 0 7 2 14 10 0 6 0
ODI 0 4 1 18 14 1 7 0
CDI 0 5 1 68 64 59 39 70
VCDI 0 0 1 170 191 660 8513 22113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 3 7 11 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 5 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 8 11 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 11 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 75 53 41 13
VCDI 0 0 0 239 327 667 9350 21181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 7 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 13 11 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 41 35 26 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 398 883 8513 22076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 8 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 14 12 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 43 41 23 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 395 876 8515 22076

Date: 2020-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 15 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 15 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 65 84 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 854 7962 22886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 17 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 74 84 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 845 7962 22883

Date: 2020-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 24 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 79 220 61 58
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 426 6913 24123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 31 60 62 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 199 587 6912 24127

Date: 2020-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 4 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 4 22 27 0 0
CDI 0 46 3 46 19 79 43 25
VCDI 0 20 7 213 222 689 11392 19169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 3 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 3 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 3 21 9 0 0
CDI 0 43 3 20 18 59 25 28
VCDI 0 31 9 241 230 727 11410 19166

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 20 68 10 0 0
ODI 0 22 2 23 90 42 2 0
CDI 0 23 3 73 84 202 100 4
VCDI 0 60 12 152 194 966 9384 20493
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 1 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 19 31 3 0 0
ODI 0 19 1 18 59 24 0 0
CDI 0 29 2 36 102 114 51 7
VCDI 0 64 13 195 244 1079 9435 20490


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