Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71489 13764 164 610 295 29 0 0
OW 62 437 66 477 363 68 0 0
VODI 0 151 37 400 611 216 15 0
ODI 0 42 7 191 558 287 142 0
CDI 0 21 4 73 654 752 238 23
VCDI 0 11 6 63 796 4596 21410 67920
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71340 13770 152 487 186 56 0 0
OW 61 660 77 398 249 41 6 0
VODI 0 344 46 471 479 138 15 0
ODI 0 99 26 216 594 247 134 0
CDI 0 46 8 198 732 799 212 81
VCDI 0 7 6 263 850 5927 25947 61680
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70832 14363 148 575 218 35 0 0
OW 53 569 95 437 203 14 0 0
VODI 0 249 52 628 502 72 0 0
ODI 0 97 16 312 686 214 11 0
CDI 0 75 12 141 783 665 347 17
VCDI 0 1 0 298 1220 5991 28465 58652
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70695 14341 139 560 188 29 0 0
OW 52 514 75 467 192 18 0 0
VODI 0 215 58 581 458 97 0 0
ODI 0 66 13 275 661 226 36 0
CDI 0 16 9 148 662 604 271 41
VCDI 0 0 0 57 1316 5378 26764 61826
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70695 14375 134 556 208 32 0 0
OW 52 485 85 445 183 18 0 0
VODI 0 210 54 592 419 98 0 0
ODI 0 61 11 282 641 229 36 0
CDI 0 21 10 149 667 532 273 48
VCDI 0 0 0 64 1359 5443 26762 61819

Date: 2020-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70849 14213 149 538 162 3 0 0
OW 52 561 64 429 265 5 0 0
VODI 0 154 59 553 545 91 0 0
ODI 0 58 16 242 611 256 78 0
CDI 0 25 4 104 694 611 188 34
VCDI 0 0 1 50 1004 5636 24095 64649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70849 14244 147 528 162 3 0 0
OW 52 509 75 432 254 3 0 0
VODI 0 167 51 532 515 122 3 0
ODI 0 56 15 262 590 211 56 0
CDI 0 28 2 101 723 596 237 43
VCDI 0 7 3 61 1037 5667 24065 64640

Date: 2020-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70407 14414 159 711 204 29 0 0
OW 51 506 73 537 265 13 0 0
VODI 0 211 45 535 699 65 0 0
ODI 0 45 13 218 840 215 31 0
CDI 0 8 1 73 812 992 317 64
VCDI 0 2 2 42 784 4616 23403 65646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70406 14326 158 697 280 46 0 0
OW 52 433 44 412 225 58 2 0
VODI 0 280 45 413 432 137 71 0
ODI 0 101 33 267 582 136 108 0
CDI 0 38 10 217 849 537 187 67
VCDI 0 8 3 110 1236 5016 23383 65643

Date: 2020-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70793 14157 146 734 310 16 0 0
OW 69 495 54 413 270 20 0 0
VODI 7 288 37 348 533 89 0 0
ODI 2 143 11 206 590 215 0 0
CDI 0 165 14 171 741 695 200 30
VCDI 0 40 13 373 1159 6012 25733 61756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70771 13690 137 701 370 30 0 0
OW 74 639 31 288 219 44 0 0
VODI 16 371 46 327 427 126 11 0
ODI 10 201 17 192 450 208 103 0
CDI 0 229 20 219 740 569 116 46
VCDI 0 158 24 518 1397 6070 25703 61740

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70777 14299 153 661 279 11 0 0
OW 52 510 46 410 244 18 0 0
VODI 0 218 37 459 542 67 0 0
ODI 0 87 17 234 702 169 4 0
CDI 0 57 8 248 822 649 193 27
VCDI 0 64 12 244 1324 6043 24428 62933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70777 13889 134 747 502 30 0 0
OW 52 667 34 239 264 63 0 0
VODI 0 350 44 316 419 126 2 0
ODI 0 153 31 297 491 147 21 0
CDI 0 81 15 269 695 488 214 27
VCDI 0 95 15 388 1542 6103 24388 62933


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 08:40:06 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy