Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 8 20 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 46 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 37 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 33 47 83 31
VCDI 0 0 0 57 122 513 8363 22563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 3 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 4 33 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 43 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 36 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 42 110 74 1
VCDI 0 0 0 10 128 557 8733 22181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 6 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 3 26 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 5 37 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 65 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 92 65 42 8
VCDI 0 0 0 15 93 678 7392 23355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 5 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 1 16 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 21 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 28 23 6 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 22 48 102 62 31
VCDI 0 6 3 149 126 651 6397 24253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 5 24 3 0 0 0
OW 0 15 0 10 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 27 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 28 19 6 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 22 48 94 71 32
VCDI 0 5 3 145 128 659 6388 24252

Date: 2020-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 22 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 42 2 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 47 83 48 54
VCDI 0 0 0 36 253 567 8503 22320
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 19 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 32 2 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 63 75 50 46
VCDI 0 0 0 35 249 575 8503 22328

Date: 2020-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 33 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 21 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 99 117 38 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 367 4526 26675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 17 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 27 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 17 64 22 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 185 464 4542 26667

Date: 2020-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 27 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 32 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 52 20 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 288 3550 28068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 2 9 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 31 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 26 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 30 13 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 307 3563 28062

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 10 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 19 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 27 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 63 35 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 307 4461 27083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 6 5 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 11 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 2 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 8 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 47 46 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 352 4440 27077


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