Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72248 13949 167 795 393 146 54 0
OW 74 441 58 337 240 87 22 0
VODI 0 247 29 331 348 145 44 0
ODI 0 65 19 246 528 197 49 0
CDI 0 44 9 143 513 589 245 33
VCDI 0 14 6 153 1172 7921 29464 55483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72778 13391 148 687 415 136 69 0
OW 74 443 59 382 222 55 49 0
VODI 0 192 38 435 318 113 52 0
ODI 0 51 12 233 432 209 79 0
CDI 0 11 5 134 801 537 189 7
VCDI 0 0 0 41 1218 6018 28458 58557
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72508 13635 173 696 228 88 22 0
OW 75 409 59 462 186 44 21 0
VODI 0 118 29 434 437 89 33 0
ODI 0 27 8 237 544 167 71 0
CDI 0 7 3 121 919 645 256 62
VCDI 0 0 0 45 758 6637 24537 62258
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71611 14147 161 676 285 119 0 0
OW 76 456 65 455 226 40 15 0
VODI 0 161 36 500 354 110 24 0
ODI 0 55 10 280 519 185 41 0
CDI 0 23 7 192 741 465 172 75
VCDI 0 9 5 224 829 6097 22670 64932
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71611 14144 161 704 305 124 3 0
OW 76 442 67 445 227 36 19 0
VODI 0 168 32 502 354 108 21 0
ODI 0 59 10 272 497 208 29 0
CDI 0 28 9 185 735 441 184 91
VCDI 0 10 5 219 836 6099 22666 64916

Date: 2020-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71803 13871 164 680 276 74 0 0
OW 60 516 66 471 228 50 0 0
VODI 0 231 22 480 380 84 4 0
ODI 0 78 24 272 460 168 32 0
CDI 0 26 6 147 696 441 292 56
VCDI 0 31 2 192 1680 5679 26160 61146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71803 13844 170 705 291 84 0 0
OW 60 516 62 447 202 50 0 0
VODI 0 242 23 488 387 85 7 0
ODI 0 86 19 236 456 169 42 0
CDI 0 37 7 146 723 402 246 66
VCDI 0 28 3 220 1661 5706 26193 61136

Date: 2020-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71747 13860 155 673 382 67 2 0
OW 76 443 65 395 350 54 10 0
VODI 0 158 28 456 603 108 8 0
ODI 0 49 4 160 558 294 45 0
CDI 0 25 2 56 843 589 192 26
VCDI 0 26 5 59 904 4470 19550 69551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71763 13520 162 732 509 106 4 0
OW 60 539 39 266 295 78 19 0
VODI 0 279 32 327 457 171 55 0
ODI 0 98 13 239 367 220 122 0
CDI 0 68 5 118 568 342 110 53
VCDI 0 57 8 117 1444 4665 19497 69524

Date: 2020-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71727 13827 158 596 355 164 12 0
OW 60 440 66 425 237 130 20 0
VODI 0 136 38 378 476 260 43 0
ODI 0 49 7 142 418 284 152 0
CDI 0 44 4 76 488 465 287 12
VCDI 0 12 2 76 645 4365 18860 71112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71727 13437 160 634 475 265 16 0
OW 60 599 38 298 191 156 40 0
VODI 0 298 45 301 342 263 157 0
ODI 0 92 20 225 352 255 180 0
CDI 0 56 8 124 455 320 173 30
VCDI 0 26 4 111 804 4409 18808 71094

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71489 13764 164 610 295 29 0 0
OW 62 437 66 477 363 68 0 0
VODI 0 151 37 400 611 216 15 0
ODI 0 42 7 191 558 287 142 0
CDI 0 21 4 73 654 752 238 23
VCDI 0 11 6 63 796 4596 21410 67920
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71491 13659 172 758 377 69 3 0
OW 60 391 57 419 395 93 10 0
VODI 0 229 27 269 612 205 108 0
ODI 0 79 14 172 470 229 138 2
CDI 0 44 4 99 585 526 173 71
VCDI 0 24 10 97 838 4826 21373 67870


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 08:29:32 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy