Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-01-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 7 47 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 0 115 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 25 82 11 0 0
CDI 0 50 0 7 110 60 7 10
VCDI 0 135 15 65 225 1030 6729 23005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 3 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 8 30 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 6 36 52 30 0 0
ODI 0 22 1 11 43 88 0 0
CDI 0 25 0 9 20 180 83 14
VCDI 0 75 6 59 103 812 7927 22300
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 8 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 3 28 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 19 53 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 11 56 42 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 15 30 230 70 3
VCDI 0 27 3 37 77 634 9540 21027
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 5 2 2 0 0 0
OW 0 19 6 27 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 3 32 24 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 12 48 8 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 11 27 92 40 14
VCDI 0 6 5 61 103 542 9198 21690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 5 7 2 0 0 0
OW 0 16 6 25 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 3 31 26 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 11 49 14 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 12 25 88 28 17
VCDI 0 5 5 59 104 544 9210 21687

Date: 2020-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 5 29 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 39 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 35 5 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 35 119 68 34
VCDI 0 0 0 53 120 737 9004 21656
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 4 31 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 36 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 33 4 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 40 129 62 27
VCDI 0 0 0 47 114 728 9009 21663

Date: 2020-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 4 25 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 43 6 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 41 37 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 76 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 58 125 25 8
VCDI 0 0 0 1 53 386 6475 24609
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 4 7 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 29 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 32 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 29 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 55 79 37 3
VCDI 0 0 0 7 130 441 6463 24614

Date: 2020-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 5 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 16 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 28 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 32 52 17 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 41 41 89 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 221 717 7075 23513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 0 17 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 18 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 23 30 1 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 37 61 67 72 19
VCDI 0 0 0 85 236 755 7048 23494

Date: 2020-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 4 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 1 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 22 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 13 35 8 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 56 71 69 70
VCDI 0 0 0 119 140 469 7253 23613
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 3 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 34 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 20 29 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 70 30 37 31
VCDI 0 0 0 125 147 518 7291 23652


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