Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76901 11708 113 471 295 211 1 0
OW 72 411 49 203 145 59 30 0
VODI 0 238 33 263 194 86 24 0
ODI 0 84 11 158 228 108 30 0
CDI 0 34 11 113 339 247 45 0
VCDI 0 31 7 141 677 3895 8716 2718
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75710 12524 119 576 299 203 25 0
OW 71 441 48 162 113 44 16 0
VODI 0 246 35 264 169 78 31 0
ODI 0 115 17 204 234 95 48 0
CDI 0 30 2 131 372 162 35 0
VCDI 0 31 5 116 729 3298 8198 4104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75901 12736 171 458 268 169 12 0
OW 71 343 36 274 99 50 16 0
VODI 0 187 20 224 206 48 37 0
ODI 0 106 10 144 264 89 58 0
CDI 0 65 4 113 371 186 144 0
VCDI 0 21 7 100 532 2457 8229 4874
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75512 13118 133 394 206 130 52 0
OW 71 568 45 296 91 31 9 0
VODI 0 335 27 286 190 49 10 0
ODI 0 194 15 165 238 80 19 0
CDI 0 84 7 144 340 296 79 0
VCDI 0 39 8 151 956 3914 8076 2742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75512 13083 134 416 207 134 52 0
OW 71 563 43 272 91 29 12 0
VODI 0 336 25 281 198 53 10 0
ODI 0 208 16 151 234 93 22 0
CDI 0 97 7 146 300 301 87 0
VCDI 0 51 10 170 991 3890 8062 2742

Date: 2020-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75101 12797 136 506 235 133 57 0
OW 72 684 35 288 119 18 18 0
VODI 0 367 31 251 228 35 25 0
ODI 0 156 16 198 218 70 21 0
CDI 0 103 9 169 375 177 51 0
VCDI 0 63 9 182 943 3591 7893 3720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75101 12836 133 528 241 136 62 0
OW 72 617 37 256 118 27 20 0
VODI 0 343 28 240 225 29 20 0
ODI 0 176 16 188 219 81 24 0
CDI 0 121 13 165 364 189 51 0
VCDI 0 77 9 217 951 3562 7888 3720

Date: 2020-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73835 13634 151 696 229 92 49 0
OW 72 542 52 354 244 56 14 0
VODI 0 252 31 326 397 80 22 0
ODI 0 75 12 137 458 122 29 0
CDI 0 45 11 115 446 295 97 0
VCDI 0 6 4 85 606 2843 8066 4520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73834 13258 147 668 294 152 83 0
OW 73 526 41 265 159 44 13 0
VODI 0 435 23 248 269 69 26 0
ODI 0 170 19 185 252 89 61 0
CDI 0 86 15 125 437 164 99 0
VCDI 0 79 16 222 969 2970 7995 4520

Date: 2020-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73203 13421 167 793 332 117 44 0
OW 75 424 40 296 259 81 19 0
VODI 0 284 28 319 386 123 47 0
ODI 0 72 18 168 368 173 42 0
CDI 0 39 5 107 477 324 166 0
VCDI 0 34 6 95 595 3136 8456 4361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73200 13077 162 773 396 203 95 0
OW 78 475 26 231 231 64 29 0
VODI 0 353 28 234 297 130 47 0
ODI 0 209 23 177 289 100 70 0
CDI 0 67 16 207 362 237 126 0
VCDI 0 93 9 156 842 3220 8407 4361

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72248 13881 164 793 393 146 54 0
OW 74 427 50 317 235 87 22 0
VODI 0 244 27 285 335 124 42 0
ODI 0 65 19 223 479 123 42 0
CDI 0 44 9 127 441 316 114 0
VCDI 0 14 6 96 933 3703 8839 3559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72248 13510 161 785 484 238 109 0
OW 74 491 38 264 217 89 34 0
VODI 0 315 29 286 295 129 34 0
ODI 0 151 13 229 345 147 43 0
CDI 0 89 21 127 430 228 94 0
VCDI 0 119 13 150 1045 3668 8799 3559


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