Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 17 47 5 0 0 0
OW 0 27 7 40 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 31 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 0 30 52 34 1 0
CDI 0 12 1 51 62 149 59 40
VCDI 0 2 1 64 284 1270 9785 19781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 163 7 38 3 0 0 0
OW 0 62 6 20 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 4 53 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 0 40 26 16 0 0
CDI 0 45 0 62 68 148 28 46
VCDI 0 111 15 117 323 1159 9767 19638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 10 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 41 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 0 107 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 20 64 4 0 0
CDI 0 39 0 1 82 95 95 14
VCDI 0 101 13 70 193 949 9332 20458
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 132 6 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 13 42 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 2 56 85 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 12 109 2 0 0
CDI 0 41 0 10 101 30 36 6
VCDI 0 91 11 69 196 591 6068 24206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 136 10 34 2 0 0 0
OW 0 34 9 35 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 2 56 59 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 1 13 98 2 0 0
CDI 0 41 0 10 112 19 34 7
VCDI 0 97 11 70 220 602 6070 24205

Date: 2020-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 7 29 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 3 92 55 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 1 23 104 4 0 0
CDI 0 34 1 7 90 91 66 6
VCDI 0 99 10 72 150 1256 8324 21324
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 5 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 2 81 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 2 27 85 3 0 0
CDI 0 30 1 8 97 86 81 7
VCDI 0 117 10 74 175 1262 8309 21323

Date: 2020-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 6 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 31 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 3 29 91 5 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 10 77 117 4 0
CDI 0 20 0 17 53 292 86 11
VCDI 0 36 3 30 47 623 9141 21172
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 6 26 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 36 49 2 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 8 70 19 0 0
CDI 0 14 3 5 40 168 67 14
VCDI 0 52 3 57 114 848 9164 21169

Date: 2020-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 5 9 2 0 0 0
OW 0 13 5 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 32 32 9 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 8 48 17 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 12 16 169 84 2
VCDI 0 27 5 44 93 751 8797 21749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 6 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 43 12 5 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 12 48 30 0 0
CDI 0 10 3 6 23 130 20 23
VCDI 0 33 6 56 109 781 8861 21728

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 8 20 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 46 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 37 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 33 47 83 31
VCDI 0 0 0 57 122 513 8363 22563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 4 6 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 8 31 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 38 24 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 55 50 31 28
VCDI 0 0 0 64 124 510 8415 22566


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