Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 3 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 3 11 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 3 15 18 7 0 0
CDI 0 39 5 54 25 55 8 31
VCDI 0 0 0 29 119 269 3956 27092
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 8 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 0 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 2 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 9 32 12 1 0 0
CDI 0 19 1 44 24 33 43 61
VCDI 0 15 0 26 133 442 5299 25505
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 15 34 3 0 0 0
OW 0 32 2 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 2 30 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 32 40 34 0 0
CDI 0 19 2 56 63 128 31 46
VCDI 0 28 3 50 285 1513 9051 20206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 223 9 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 6 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 43 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 0 37 39 40 1 0
CDI 0 14 3 51 58 167 76 52
VCDI 0 5 2 53 290 1472 9630 19669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 231 10 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 6 30 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 0 38 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 32 35 37 1 0
CDI 0 18 2 30 53 167 84 52
VCDI 0 6 3 79 295 1475 9622 19669

Date: 2020-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 8 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 7 16 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 2 26 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 4 19 57 15 1 0
CDI 0 17 4 37 73 137 47 40
VCDI 0 10 8 87 269 940 10034 19860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 9 37 1 0 0 0
OW 0 43 6 22 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 2 25 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 4 23 47 16 1 0
CDI 0 15 5 27 50 130 51 33
VCDI 0 9 7 91 283 946 10030 19867

Date: 2020-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 211 10 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 4 67 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 0 124 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 43 47 17 0 0
CDI 0 91 8 55 108 149 34 12
VCDI 0 82 8 45 204 1441 9786 19328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 6 43 4 0 0 0
OW 0 59 6 39 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 2 79 22 6 0 0
ODI 0 38 0 76 40 32 1 0
CDI 0 44 1 44 58 155 43 5
VCDI 0 154 16 92 264 1414 9776 19335

Date: 2020-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 10 39 3 0 0 0
OW 0 28 10 31 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 29 102 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 2 2 102 3 0 0
CDI 0 37 0 5 57 70 10 35
VCDI 0 74 8 49 105 505 7344 23185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 7 29 18 0 0 0
OW 0 35 8 25 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 6 35 89 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 0 8 86 8 0 0
CDI 0 39 1 5 64 99 40 34
VCDI 0 104 9 53 109 471 7314 23186

Date: 2020-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 7 47 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 0 115 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 25 82 11 0 0
CDI 0 50 0 7 110 60 7 10
VCDI 0 135 15 65 225 1030 6729 23005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 3 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 3 44 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 2 27 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 4 84 39 0 0 0
CDI 0 42 0 37 104 15 2 1
VCDI 0 182 15 68 323 1086 6734 23014


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