Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2019-12-19
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-12-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79233 |
11228 |
123 |
571 |
392 |
103 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
414 |
25 |
215 |
269 |
58 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
162 |
21 |
271 |
542 |
119 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
59 |
12 |
138 |
234 |
220 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
3 |
105 |
204 |
321 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
526 |
2762 |
7658 |
2900 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78262 |
11877 |
128 |
491 |
362 |
203 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
72 |
489 |
33 |
205 |
238 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
219 |
22 |
204 |
393 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
58 |
8 |
169 |
512 |
185 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
31 |
2 |
91 |
303 |
327 |
44 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
23 |
6 |
93 |
492 |
1613 |
8467 |
3243 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77758 |
12916 |
152 |
574 |
361 |
147 |
36 |
0 |
| OW |
61 |
287 |
39 |
199 |
249 |
31 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
80 |
17 |
208 |
422 |
68 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
2 |
96 |
320 |
144 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
3 |
38 |
351 |
315 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
16 |
4 |
53 |
296 |
1449 |
7688 |
4627 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78426 |
11953 |
119 |
434 |
300 |
130 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
70 |
295 |
49 |
284 |
188 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
107 |
26 |
313 |
295 |
76 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
37 |
5 |
128 |
244 |
214 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
2 |
60 |
301 |
329 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
18 |
2 |
69 |
354 |
1629 |
7265 |
5276 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78423 |
11919 |
122 |
453 |
313 |
135 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
74 |
307 |
40 |
232 |
155 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
127 |
31 |
313 |
301 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
36 |
6 |
162 |
250 |
205 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
28 |
2 |
58 |
307 |
309 |
17 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
19 |
2 |
70 |
356 |
1671 |
7276 |
5276 |
|
Date: 2019-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77176 |
12713 |
110 |
395 |
235 |
144 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
513 |
54 |
225 |
96 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
191 |
39 |
369 |
215 |
37 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
37 |
10 |
189 |
308 |
74 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
25 |
3 |
63 |
477 |
256 |
13 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
61 |
472 |
2432 |
6869 |
5181 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77176 |
12689 |
114 |
391 |
240 |
150 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
494 |
48 |
226 |
88 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
218 |
38 |
341 |
202 |
33 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
50 |
13 |
213 |
321 |
56 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
1 |
64 |
509 |
296 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
2 |
67 |
443 |
2416 |
6876 |
5181 |
|
Date: 2019-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77331 |
12474 |
136 |
542 |
212 |
165 |
55 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
336 |
64 |
397 |
201 |
16 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
39 |
16 |
327 |
351 |
41 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
93 |
420 |
129 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
415 |
566 |
25 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
110 |
2370 |
7123 |
5050 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77320 |
12103 |
119 |
491 |
229 |
181 |
65 |
0 |
| OW |
74 |
427 |
40 |
239 |
123 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
272 |
47 |
349 |
213 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
46 |
11 |
188 |
312 |
74 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
1 |
77 |
456 |
315 |
29 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
376 |
2648 |
7122 |
5050 |
|
Date: 2019-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75987 |
13497 |
153 |
592 |
200 |
194 |
54 |
0 |
| OW |
68 |
436 |
50 |
316 |
151 |
10 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
153 |
43 |
331 |
296 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
2 |
165 |
372 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
38 |
525 |
338 |
18 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
326 |
2545 |
7095 |
4997 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75979 |
13051 |
128 |
576 |
239 |
208 |
64 |
0 |
| OW |
76 |
513 |
56 |
254 |
134 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
363 |
44 |
262 |
225 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
134 |
13 |
194 |
322 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
31 |
7 |
93 |
466 |
249 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
80 |
484 |
2610 |
7112 |
4999 |
|
Date: 2019-12-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
76451 |
12828 |
119 |
384 |
184 |
150 |
66 |
0 |
| OW |
86 |
479 |
62 |
290 |
123 |
24 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
212 |
40 |
359 |
295 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
2 |
16 |
8 |
209 |
352 |
73 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
54 |
508 |
289 |
22 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
436 |
2857 |
6584 |
5469 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
76427 |
12385 |
118 |
392 |
312 |
202 |
68 |
0 |
| OW |
105 |
558 |
45 |
202 |
141 |
82 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
11 |
330 |
38 |
271 |
181 |
97 |
45 |
0 |
| ODI |
2 |
211 |
19 |
198 |
209 |
91 |
57 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
46 |
9 |
212 |
481 |
200 |
96 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
36 |
574 |
2757 |
6410 |
5469 |
|
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