Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-12-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 395 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 9 29 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 3 19 85 54 7 0
ODI 0 24 4 20 38 74 30 0
CDI 0 13 6 39 28 80 187 26
VCDI 0 0 0 23 79 456 6266 23980
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 359 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 11 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 3 65 65 2 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 24 61 77 1 0
CDI 0 4 3 35 40 107 44 18
VCDI 0 0 0 29 131 247 4451 26144
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 370 12 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 1 77 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 2 23 99 2 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 17 58 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 60 123 0 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 380 3548 27048
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 324 4 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 7 60 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 2 38 116 3 0 0
ODI 0 20 1 14 60 56 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 15 28 153 36 6
VCDI 0 0 0 9 77 521 4849 25581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 330 5 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 6 48 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 2 41 103 1 0 0
ODI 0 19 1 15 62 41 1 0
CDI 0 5 0 13 37 108 40 8
VCDI 0 0 0 8 66 583 4844 25579

Date: 2019-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 284 5 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 5 22 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 7 43 76 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 2 14 67 35 3 0
CDI 0 27 1 21 12 108 79 27
VCDI 0 8 2 44 133 311 5016 25528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 314 5 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 4 21 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 9 43 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 2 19 63 35 4 0
CDI 0 17 0 26 16 81 83 26
VCDI 0 4 2 31 129 338 5011 25529

Date: 2019-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 242 9 34 13 0 0 0
OW 0 96 4 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 3 20 26 5 0 0
ODI 0 47 4 6 25 83 12 0
CDI 0 13 6 14 20 55 97 3
VCDI 0 0 1 47 91 271 4707 26036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 212 11 35 13 0 0 0
OW 0 55 0 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 4 16 14 7 0 0
ODI 0 73 0 8 26 53 13 0
CDI 0 44 8 13 11 76 84 10
VCDI 0 0 4 53 111 278 4719 26029

Date: 2019-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 163 11 29 36 0 0 0
OW 0 33 2 14 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 10 37 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 2 24 62 4 0 0
CDI 0 22 0 25 34 43 20 10
VCDI 0 0 0 8 78 280 5059 25981
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 10 28 36 0 0 0
OW 0 31 4 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 5 22 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 4 25 26 1 0 0
CDI 0 38 2 36 54 29 28 10
VCDI 0 0 0 12 85 297 5051 25981

Date: 2019-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 3 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 3 11 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 3 15 18 7 0 0
CDI 0 39 5 54 25 55 8 31
VCDI 0 0 0 29 119 269 3956 27092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 200 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 1 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 5 17 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 3 12 13 10 0 0
CDI 0 30 5 57 31 50 13 10
VCDI 0 2 0 29 120 271 3951 27113


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