Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 365 2 4 9 25 12 0
OW 0 63 6 46 46 128 31 0
VODI 0 80 0 11 70 115 23 0
ODI 0 64 5 6 38 93 63 0
CDI 0 43 4 35 9 168 229 37
VCDI 0 11 7 108 251 1473 7529 20817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 293 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 89 6 30 16 36 0 0
VODI 0 57 6 54 69 173 12 0
ODI 0 30 3 18 58 83 45 0
CDI 0 26 3 22 19 145 160 6
VCDI 0 2 3 41 176 1688 10390 18312
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 487 13 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 7 71 17 11 0 0
VODI 0 39 3 57 114 56 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 14 79 74 17 0
CDI 0 18 9 41 118 292 55 7
VCDI 0 0 0 11 46 1718 8846 19756
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 417 7 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 33 4 67 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 5 22 87 75 0 0
ODI 0 30 2 10 60 79 8 0
CDI 0 27 9 35 78 212 127 0
VCDI 0 0 3 19 43 641 7760 22152
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 409 8 22 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 3 52 22 1 0 0
VODI 0 41 4 26 67 74 0 0
ODI 0 34 3 12 58 63 6 0
CDI 0 30 10 43 90 233 148 0
VCDI 0 0 2 11 42 636 7741 22152

Date: 2019-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 377 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 10 19 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 3 38 81 21 0 0
ODI 0 21 1 25 47 93 23 0
CDI 0 2 3 45 30 69 124 17
VCDI 0 0 0 15 99 250 5629 24940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 364 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 6 15 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 5 40 66 24 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 22 44 81 21 0
CDI 0 6 3 60 42 68 89 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 100 260 5666 24939

Date: 2019-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 416 10 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 3 73 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 5 38 100 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 25 70 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 64 156 17 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 287 4975 25593
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 318 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 3 17 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 7 75 49 3 0 0
ODI 0 41 4 16 58 46 0 0
CDI 0 22 5 35 53 92 11 45
VCDI 0 0 0 37 139 347 4981 25559

Date: 2019-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 336 8 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 5 83 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 3 28 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 0 15 79 36 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 11 49 118 8 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 470 3454 27088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 244 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 1 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 10 70 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 2 54 75 2 0 0
CDI 0 29 1 24 81 64 21 38
VCDI 0 11 2 18 137 558 3441 27051

Date: 2019-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 321 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 6 37 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 3 42 103 1 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 17 71 46 2 0
CDI 0 17 0 17 22 164 54 0
VCDI 0 5 3 25 110 433 5921 24524
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 171 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 2 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 4 29 12 2 0 0
CDI 0 71 3 25 63 37 2 9
VCDI 0 59 6 85 239 605 5975 24515


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