Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84495 9947 112 478 250 10 0 0
OW 26 90 22 217 190 13 0 0
VODI 0 31 5 122 339 116 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 51 275 244 9 0
CDI 0 5 1 17 175 628 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 100 1531 6200 3265
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83835 10379 104 463 247 34 0 0
OW 27 161 20 198 178 14 0 0
VODI 0 65 11 138 217 92 1 0
ODI 0 36 6 57 209 236 6 0
CDI 0 5 2 60 208 410 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 124 3216 7273 937
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82233 11381 114 726 353 72 0 0
OW 29 74 25 205 203 16 0 0
VODI 0 20 7 110 311 68 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 221 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 132 580 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 2125 6534 3197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81201 12095 122 657 440 100 0 0
OW 29 102 22 213 123 64 0 0
VODI 0 37 9 167 200 86 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 64 207 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 222 288 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 167 2340 7327 2660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81201 12114 128 666 449 89 0 0
OW 29 89 18 215 122 54 0 0
VODI 0 34 8 162 200 89 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 63 194 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 222 264 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 172 2385 7331 2660

Date: 2019-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81690 11484 102 599 259 90 0 0
OW 34 213 28 270 162 13 0 0
VODI 0 91 21 198 242 42 0 0
ODI 0 20 6 116 224 34 0 0
CDI 0 1 5 68 278 176 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 405 3401 7288 1520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81690 11515 109 593 270 88 0 0
OW 34 192 25 297 136 18 0 0
VODI 0 81 18 176 237 40 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 113 227 31 0 0
CDI 0 1 5 76 272 156 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 428 3423 7287 1520

Date: 2019-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81983 11103 80 396 274 83 0 0
OW 34 196 45 307 205 45 0 0
VODI 0 22 20 255 388 102 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 68 319 150 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 307 269 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 175 3506 7552 1187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81980 10970 89 395 341 142 0 0
OW 37 234 23 281 157 69 1 0
VODI 0 104 22 165 300 67 2 0
ODI 0 12 11 123 235 67 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 68 304 184 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 331 3626 7552 1187

Date: 2019-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81622 11242 71 438 368 41 0 0
OW 41 238 36 206 213 67 0 0
VODI 2 67 28 248 241 116 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 168 259 155 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 368 307 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 354 2827 7392 1909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81623 10993 67 423 389 69 0 0
OW 40 373 26 202 190 71 0 0
VODI 2 168 26 184 276 105 0 0
ODI 0 13 17 185 241 144 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 291 260 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 416 2864 7410 1909

Date: 2019-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81230 11340 93 568 303 135 0 0
OW 53 350 25 244 159 105 0 0
VODI 0 182 32 171 237 112 28 0
ODI 0 37 22 189 170 143 33 0
CDI 0 8 5 141 228 257 67 0
VCDI 0 2 3 64 757 3477 6405 1725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81230 10906 81 477 359 164 0 0
OW 53 556 24 202 134 114 6 0
VODI 0 303 33 229 190 142 44 0
ODI 0 111 17 188 158 145 57 0
CDI 0 39 19 143 205 208 47 0
VCDI 0 4 6 138 808 3456 6379 1725


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