Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2019-11-28
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4806 |
6605 |
75 |
406 |
543 |
331 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
27 |
350 |
37 |
287 |
335 |
341 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
73 |
14 |
226 |
437 |
385 |
53 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
7 |
114 |
411 |
493 |
77 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
235 |
951 |
164 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
2258 |
9085 |
16562 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4295 |
6366 |
69 |
332 |
261 |
33 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
33 |
501 |
34 |
360 |
369 |
345 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
92 |
23 |
256 |
418 |
581 |
53 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
76 |
435 |
562 |
51 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
483 |
766 |
106 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
265 |
3294 |
10464 |
14844 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4486 |
6412 |
73 |
383 |
166 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
25 |
350 |
41 |
360 |
296 |
131 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
55 |
25 |
227 |
628 |
314 |
39 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
43 |
552 |
439 |
77 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
313 |
809 |
342 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
157 |
2365 |
9701 |
16993 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3947 |
6448 |
56 |
265 |
65 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
33 |
577 |
44 |
334 |
232 |
40 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
183 |
22 |
340 |
497 |
80 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
7 |
130 |
514 |
188 |
43 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
717 |
806 |
109 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
531 |
3213 |
9121 |
17202 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3960 |
6488 |
72 |
338 |
135 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
514 |
20 |
295 |
244 |
34 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
206 |
29 |
299 |
451 |
93 |
19 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
8 |
140 |
516 |
154 |
26 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
665 |
779 |
79 |
16 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
545 |
3260 |
9169 |
17203 |
|
Date: 2019-11-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2175 |
6903 |
99 |
383 |
22 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
706 |
66 |
497 |
207 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
169 |
16 |
346 |
551 |
91 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
4 |
166 |
631 |
215 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
86 |
589 |
577 |
16 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
498 |
3857 |
9432 |
17460 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2173 |
6945 |
121 |
543 |
65 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
590 |
46 |
390 |
229 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
202 |
13 |
314 |
572 |
102 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
80 |
5 |
151 |
585 |
226 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
0 |
68 |
552 |
524 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
495 |
3878 |
9437 |
17460 |
|
Date: 2019-12-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1430 |
6908 |
106 |
587 |
180 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
497 |
56 |
618 |
432 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
105 |
9 |
222 |
657 |
238 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
4 |
98 |
429 |
552 |
22 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
32 |
212 |
1162 |
206 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
193 |
2845 |
11149 |
16808 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1424 |
6506 |
103 |
655 |
370 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
17 |
493 |
35 |
419 |
205 |
120 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
257 |
19 |
222 |
390 |
198 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
164 |
14 |
91 |
412 |
327 |
28 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
83 |
3 |
98 |
350 |
713 |
152 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
40 |
1 |
76 |
376 |
3441 |
11172 |
16808 |
|
Date: 2019-12-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1811 |
5116 |
72 |
468 |
305 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
42 |
511 |
53 |
472 |
491 |
153 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
11 |
141 |
17 |
326 |
494 |
357 |
17 |
0 |
| ODI |
3 |
35 |
7 |
148 |
263 |
352 |
54 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
83 |
276 |
607 |
206 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
255 |
3021 |
10843 |
18769 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1718 |
4953 |
66 |
548 |
551 |
269 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
95 |
502 |
47 |
335 |
326 |
224 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
41 |
145 |
16 |
274 |
351 |
313 |
36 |
0 |
| ODI |
8 |
95 |
8 |
59 |
237 |
249 |
130 |
0 |
| CDI |
5 |
67 |
6 |
86 |
181 |
358 |
213 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
41 |
7 |
211 |
438 |
3147 |
10733 |
18769 |
|
Date: 2019-12-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
426 |
4590 |
82 |
364 |
87 |
131 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
3 |
421 |
39 |
794 |
596 |
248 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
74 |
3 |
226 |
1140 |
351 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
26 |
7 |
42 |
449 |
431 |
82 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
255 |
554 |
182 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
2661 |
9014 |
22470 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
424 |
4262 |
78 |
720 |
599 |
405 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
5 |
500 |
27 |
375 |
658 |
351 |
33 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
214 |
12 |
214 |
705 |
399 |
86 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
83 |
4 |
38 |
207 |
276 |
137 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
50 |
7 |
24 |
153 |
395 |
247 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
3 |
62 |
304 |
2550 |
8787 |
22466 |
|
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