Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 1674 28 123 35 0 0 0
OW 0 312 50 307 65 8 0 0
VODI 0 92 15 323 383 128 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 108 345 223 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 236 471 62 18
VCDI 0 0 0 21 244 3190 9985 13534
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70 1539 21 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 334 37 248 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 178 21 435 166 5 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 210 496 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 294 439 76 25
VCDI 0 0 0 50 232 3562 11772 11635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69 1527 31 128 107 1 0 0
OW 0 188 32 262 109 13 0 0
VODI 0 34 5 214 345 62 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 41 609 208 24 6
CDI 0 0 0 15 252 699 253 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 172 1648 13481 11515
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 1314 27 138 73 86 0 0
OW 0 250 22 174 77 52 0 0
VODI 0 84 14 207 310 123 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 55 327 277 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 345 583 49 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 1230 9885 16272
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 1423 31 142 74 104 0 0
OW 0 199 20 203 62 36 0 0
VODI 0 29 12 193 319 100 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 38 333 291 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 5 343 464 42 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 1356 9892 16276

Date: 2019-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 955 19 187 199 36 0 0
OW 0 64 13 82 153 46 0 0
VODI 0 63 16 224 226 145 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 275 393 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 150 676 32 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1043 6840 20160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 976 23 207 193 49 0 0
OW 0 71 14 122 118 43 0 0
VODI 0 35 11 180 283 130 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 283 439 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 116 536 31 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 1142 6841 20153

Date: 2019-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1004 16 146 144 0 0 0
OW 0 148 27 129 76 4 0 0
VODI 0 13 11 259 236 55 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 34 288 185 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 74 915 162 67
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 1057 7939 19080
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1030 18 180 198 14 0 0
OW 0 95 15 61 59 35 0 0
VODI 0 40 21 228 203 82 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 97 167 230 29 5
CDI 0 0 0 6 148 365 147 113
VCDI 0 0 0 1 50 1490 7925 19029

Date: 2019-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 686 26 93 114 131 0 0
OW 0 21 6 79 67 86 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 78 151 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 180 224 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 188 422 114 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 112 1290 8364 19493
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 704 32 126 151 225 0 0
OW 0 3 0 76 79 65 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 48 149 159 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 151 209 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 140 281 294 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 1305 8137 19493

Date: 2019-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 501 17 135 81 90 6 0
OW 0 14 6 35 102 79 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 110 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 102 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 368 9 56
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 1148 6771 22048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 512 23 190 165 210 6 0
OW 0 3 0 16 111 67 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 98 121 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 66 188 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 67 295 69 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 1006 6701 22085


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