Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2019-11-21
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6006 |
8074 |
110 |
718 |
670 |
75 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
64 |
542 |
23 |
263 |
538 |
241 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
7 |
326 |
20 |
261 |
456 |
560 |
34 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
62 |
12 |
200 |
339 |
699 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
40 |
130 |
788 |
145 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
215 |
2759 |
10465 |
10930 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5403 |
7234 |
139 |
963 |
595 |
204 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
119 |
568 |
32 |
225 |
374 |
336 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
20 |
221 |
26 |
364 |
390 |
625 |
34 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
53 |
7 |
189 |
390 |
767 |
74 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
53 |
218 |
977 |
177 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
2418 |
9134 |
13362 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4061 |
8079 |
132 |
821 |
883 |
303 |
59 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
226 |
31 |
358 |
384 |
249 |
48 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
52 |
14 |
265 |
568 |
615 |
79 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
1 |
46 |
273 |
856 |
90 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
89 |
1244 |
480 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1392 |
6899 |
17184 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4529 |
7078 |
108 |
525 |
681 |
447 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
68 |
307 |
18 |
253 |
299 |
259 |
51 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
87 |
14 |
181 |
496 |
355 |
69 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
4 |
129 |
482 |
573 |
100 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
267 |
906 |
165 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
2159 |
7811 |
17328 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4534 |
7006 |
106 |
504 |
616 |
456 |
38 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
348 |
20 |
270 |
377 |
261 |
50 |
0 |
| VODI |
5 |
119 |
12 |
169 |
535 |
364 |
70 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
6 |
140 |
452 |
533 |
98 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
243 |
888 |
193 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
2197 |
7762 |
17328 |
|
Date: 2019-11-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4723 |
6359 |
80 |
340 |
397 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
465 |
41 |
334 |
320 |
428 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
85 |
21 |
296 |
392 |
456 |
39 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
3 |
3 |
123 |
390 |
468 |
45 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
296 |
881 |
153 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
176 |
2598 |
10475 |
15233 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4703 |
6360 |
86 |
329 |
419 |
102 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
56 |
427 |
33 |
322 |
281 |
446 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
7 |
122 |
23 |
297 |
412 |
567 |
34 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
150 |
404 |
449 |
62 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
74 |
297 |
750 |
190 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
158 |
2616 |
10425 |
15235 |
|
Date: 2019-11-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4071 |
6745 |
70 |
488 |
218 |
55 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
23 |
273 |
35 |
312 |
435 |
221 |
34 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
16 |
7 |
180 |
641 |
429 |
115 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
443 |
640 |
169 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
177 |
990 |
359 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
2817 |
10828 |
14951 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4047 |
6189 |
54 |
289 |
182 |
76 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
44 |
632 |
40 |
271 |
312 |
201 |
18 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
212 |
17 |
269 |
457 |
449 |
126 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
107 |
409 |
615 |
131 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
449 |
706 |
237 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
195 |
3105 |
10997 |
14957 |
|
Date: 2019-11-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4243 |
6639 |
53 |
277 |
106 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
21 |
496 |
50 |
333 |
239 |
57 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
140 |
19 |
280 |
528 |
139 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
4 |
86 |
500 |
351 |
43 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
509 |
912 |
169 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
490 |
3268 |
9437 |
16341 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4201 |
5862 |
37 |
145 |
67 |
55 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
842 |
31 |
240 |
99 |
72 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
473 |
46 |
333 |
335 |
85 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
92 |
7 |
135 |
508 |
369 |
90 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
28 |
5 |
134 |
549 |
745 |
290 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
814 |
3409 |
9209 |
16341 |
|
Date: 2019-11-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2202 |
7466 |
92 |
356 |
15 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
647 |
45 |
442 |
144 |
37 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
288 |
22 |
281 |
456 |
73 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
12 |
173 |
553 |
134 |
45 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
666 |
568 |
84 |
24 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
689 |
4157 |
9412 |
16604 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2193 |
7005 |
91 |
376 |
42 |
45 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
617 |
32 |
272 |
148 |
69 |
35 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
476 |
23 |
270 |
371 |
127 |
51 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
264 |
16 |
166 |
390 |
169 |
62 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
66 |
7 |
141 |
419 |
428 |
234 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
110 |
1153 |
4152 |
9195 |
16611 |
|
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