Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 2220 33 142 18 0 0 0
OW 0 185 16 123 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 33 13 165 186 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 286 65 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 183 575 75 51
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2488 12060 12947
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105 1968 28 152 49 0 0 0
OW 0 210 11 86 81 1 0 0
VODI 0 66 20 155 302 16 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 87 229 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 178 451 43 3
VCDI 0 0 0 14 165 2017 7233 18310
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94 1829 44 253 121 0 0 0
OW 0 282 27 206 139 3 0 0
VODI 0 33 19 240 353 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 58 343 74 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 43 297 484 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 379 1985 9926 14709
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90 1472 39 283 127 6 0 0
OW 0 311 38 210 151 26 0 0
VODI 0 125 18 277 348 237 0 0
ODI 0 22 8 113 360 67 0 0
CDI 0 4 3 95 350 389 12 0
VCDI 0 0 1 76 544 2888 10535 12857
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90 1525 44 299 126 7 0 0
OW 0 257 38 233 146 31 0 0
VODI 0 117 13 228 327 237 0 0
ODI 0 29 8 100 338 72 0 0
CDI 0 6 2 111 311 425 12 0
VCDI 0 0 2 83 632 2841 10535 12857

Date: 2019-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 1704 27 62 3 0 0 0
OW 0 396 38 206 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 33 395 160 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 504 162 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 205 449 76 15
VCDI 0 0 0 18 188 3265 9211 14466
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 1736 28 82 3 0 0 0
OW 0 335 31 175 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 214 38 418 234 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 142 434 119 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 191 449 75 18
VCDI 0 0 0 30 207 3312 9203 14463

Date: 2019-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 1649 35 147 23 0 0 0
OW 0 175 35 316 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 292 498 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 59 707 174 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 150 907 140 57
VCDI 0 0 0 3 154 3526 13764 9069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 1394 24 99 21 0 0 0
OW 0 240 24 191 44 1 0 0
VODI 0 121 14 296 430 18 0 0
ODI 0 58 3 115 444 149 0 0
CDI 0 26 4 54 375 402 105 38
VCDI 0 4 5 78 307 4038 13806 9088

Date: 2019-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57 1536 17 133 49 0 0 0
OW 0 365 41 190 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 12 277 258 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 81 572 25 2 1
CDI 0 0 0 28 337 544 122 45
VCDI 0 0 0 1 180 1232 10372 15419
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57 1332 10 126 73 0 0 0
OW 0 331 26 106 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 206 22 256 367 2 0 0
ODI 0 81 7 69 349 102 0 0
CDI 0 46 2 60 282 306 56 30
VCDI 0 12 7 93 351 1394 10440 15435

Date: 2019-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 1045 21 280 106 44 0 0
OW 0 151 23 139 113 58 0 0
VODI 0 36 15 233 261 159 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 324 371 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 182 630 24 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1151 7881 18683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 1014 17 220 101 97 0 0
OW 0 124 23 183 75 55 0 0
VODI 0 68 11 147 257 294 16 0
ODI 0 26 8 105 214 190 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 241 330 23 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 122 1447 7882 18695


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