Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2019-11-14
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-11-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9816 |
8323 |
115 |
673 |
465 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
46 |
278 |
30 |
301 |
378 |
125 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
20 |
75 |
15 |
254 |
637 |
145 |
11 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
10 |
0 |
114 |
664 |
385 |
19 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
604 |
56 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1565 |
7020 |
13513 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9485 |
8016 |
99 |
614 |
404 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
42 |
401 |
46 |
495 |
330 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
16 |
79 |
19 |
311 |
634 |
190 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
9 |
2 |
107 |
552 |
305 |
22 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
463 |
483 |
82 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
92 |
2069 |
7435 |
12832 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8160 |
7854 |
112 |
820 |
642 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
22 |
335 |
30 |
446 |
679 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
80 |
6 |
244 |
639 |
377 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
2 |
55 |
415 |
693 |
9 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
185 |
775 |
95 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
107 |
2912 |
9570 |
10452 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7513 |
7252 |
98 |
677 |
666 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
560 |
21 |
250 |
585 |
150 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
5 |
279 |
26 |
299 |
605 |
446 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
34 |
9 |
150 |
374 |
681 |
14 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
30 |
167 |
755 |
49 |
30 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
153 |
2167 |
8929 |
12723 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7481 |
7446 |
106 |
788 |
983 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
89 |
374 |
17 |
212 |
376 |
168 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
10 |
272 |
25 |
243 |
545 |
435 |
9 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
34 |
6 |
139 |
387 |
648 |
16 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
35 |
125 |
701 |
48 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
134 |
2217 |
8929 |
12736 |
|
Date: 2019-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5279 |
7932 |
141 |
953 |
662 |
161 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
79 |
547 |
37 |
234 |
424 |
300 |
20 |
0 |
| VODI |
12 |
240 |
24 |
312 |
438 |
595 |
37 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
52 |
7 |
214 |
384 |
762 |
40 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
49 |
166 |
874 |
155 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
259 |
2364 |
9825 |
12277 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5227 |
8144 |
155 |
1046 |
878 |
232 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
120 |
372 |
25 |
214 |
368 |
351 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
23 |
190 |
24 |
269 |
344 |
570 |
38 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
59 |
4 |
187 |
401 |
748 |
53 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
1 |
48 |
96 |
740 |
169 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
246 |
2415 |
9805 |
12277 |
|
Date: 2019-11-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4777 |
7883 |
161 |
1062 |
635 |
193 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
203 |
37 |
498 |
430 |
278 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
32 |
8 |
253 |
585 |
675 |
48 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
380 |
1008 |
104 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
43 |
1262 |
358 |
37 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
1747 |
8444 |
14599 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4727 |
7420 |
144 |
1018 |
820 |
358 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
44 |
399 |
29 |
312 |
314 |
312 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
13 |
220 |
23 |
369 |
335 |
722 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
62 |
8 |
92 |
304 |
753 |
109 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
18 |
2 |
46 |
260 |
841 |
263 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
121 |
2177 |
8510 |
14623 |
|
Date: 2019-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3995 |
7890 |
115 |
563 |
814 |
446 |
69 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
339 |
32 |
244 |
303 |
237 |
54 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
68 |
16 |
293 |
497 |
518 |
77 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
2 |
73 |
392 |
645 |
103 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
202 |
942 |
537 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
1869 |
7139 |
17313 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3937 |
7140 |
110 |
549 |
838 |
592 |
74 |
0 |
| OW |
46 |
660 |
14 |
148 |
347 |
266 |
67 |
0 |
| VODI |
20 |
385 |
35 |
309 |
335 |
603 |
108 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
82 |
4 |
134 |
308 |
537 |
232 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
40 |
2 |
28 |
243 |
746 |
551 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
191 |
1913 |
6947 |
17313 |
|
Date: 2019-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4806 |
6605 |
75 |
406 |
543 |
331 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
27 |
350 |
37 |
287 |
335 |
341 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
73 |
14 |
226 |
437 |
385 |
53 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
7 |
114 |
411 |
493 |
77 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
235 |
951 |
164 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
2258 |
9085 |
16562 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4771 |
5858 |
77 |
452 |
678 |
420 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
45 |
636 |
15 |
169 |
294 |
467 |
19 |
0 |
| VODI |
15 |
477 |
31 |
214 |
362 |
462 |
113 |
0 |
| ODI |
4 |
65 |
9 |
192 |
353 |
567 |
147 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
59 |
200 |
703 |
373 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
162 |
2140 |
8738 |
16546 |
|
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