Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1253 2266 40 383 604 11 0 0
OW 0 331 46 601 1344 720 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 130 1030 1411 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 191 1642 319 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 134 2138 986 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1334 7968 7137
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1126 1892 14 87 111 170 44 0
OW 2 214 20 230 522 598 179 0
VODI 0 12 5 84 397 2180 789 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 64 733 1074 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 770 2078 90
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 699 8138 9754
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 954 2077 17 45 2 0 0 0
OW 10 93 15 110 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 4 145 156 44 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 279 189 204 6
CDI 0 0 0 1 234 1549 997 123
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 790 9577 14391
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 623 1970 18 67 14 0 0 0
OW 16 213 4 63 55 3 0 0
VODI 0 30 7 176 116 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 284 88 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 212 716 82 51
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 2072 9609 15525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 619 1985 18 62 6 0 0 0
OW 20 210 6 69 44 4 0 0
VODI 0 18 5 153 88 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 266 52 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 275 660 154 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2167 9537 15533

Date: 2019-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 2007 36 160 46 0 0 0
OW 0 165 17 147 70 11 0 0
VODI 0 23 9 129 258 40 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 237 90 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 107 492 118 34
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1196 10844 15682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 1857 35 165 34 0 0 0
OW 0 268 13 115 60 4 0 0
VODI 0 70 14 141 233 44 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 216 52 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 169 451 88 41
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1278 10881 15675

Date: 2019-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108 2148 42 196 17 0 0 0
OW 0 191 30 246 76 2 0 0
VODI 0 34 8 240 304 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 45 334 82 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 124 597 296 104
VCDI 0 0 0 8 181 1703 10053 14871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108 1698 36 212 19 0 0 0
OW 0 362 9 48 35 2 0 0
VODI 0 261 27 224 179 1 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 154 163 6 2 0
CDI 0 16 3 55 278 309 80 7
VCDI 0 1 2 76 362 2070 10270 14968

Date: 2019-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92 1568 43 305 131 1 0 0
OW 0 244 47 307 95 7 0 0
VODI 0 23 9 324 351 168 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 93 384 59 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 86 313 409 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 554 2374 9864 14178
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92 1289 44 328 160 1 0 0
OW 0 246 7 93 53 2 0 0
VODI 0 241 37 240 104 66 0 0
ODI 0 36 3 201 214 134 0 0
CDI 0 20 7 131 340 233 42 5
VCDI 0 12 4 159 957 2582 9826 14173

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 1674 28 123 35 0 0 0
OW 0 312 50 307 65 8 0 0
VODI 0 92 15 323 383 128 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 108 345 223 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 236 471 62 18
VCDI 0 0 0 21 244 3190 9985 13534
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 1433 17 111 21 0 0 0
OW 0 206 22 98 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 280 27 199 107 20 0 0
ODI 0 100 14 174 222 67 0 0
CDI 0 42 11 143 240 257 20 32
VCDI 0 18 4 180 689 3676 10027 13520


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