Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102974 18625 222 1053 848 105 1 0
OW 6 1121 124 1093 1594 740 2 0
VODI 0 200 38 599 1504 1467 18 0
ODI 0 31 8 141 719 1785 319 0
CDI 0 20 2 66 613 2596 1025 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 398 6281 24163 16529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101672 17959 190 966 526 288 80 0
OW 12 861 100 835 995 671 185 0
VODI 0 220 38 430 1117 2324 793 0
ODI 0 30 7 102 554 998 1108 0
CDI 0 7 2 43 342 1336 2171 91
VCDI 0 1 0 10 205 5608 23395 20776
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99929 18706 212 1029 356 89 27 0
OW 22 358 68 837 366 75 8 0
VODI 0 45 29 722 864 193 15 0
ODI 0 2 0 144 1060 597 232 6
CDI 0 3 1 35 716 2420 1015 123
VCDI 0 0 1 1 182 4494 25667 26399
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96545 20456 215 1079 517 103 25 0
OW 50 457 57 605 568 108 20 0
VODI 0 73 22 585 1075 227 34 0
ODI 0 13 6 122 1136 515 47 0
CDI 0 0 1 41 520 1573 174 51
VCDI 0 0 0 10 170 5376 24240 30232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96528 20435 221 1090 581 104 28 0
OW 67 486 57 568 486 119 20 0
VODI 0 64 16 580 1002 182 29 0
ODI 0 14 6 157 1162 460 56 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 602 1538 247 43
VCDI 0 0 0 10 153 5499 24160 30240

Date: 2019-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95500 20172 225 948 611 116 35 0
OW 51 635 86 785 491 196 39 0
VODI 20 168 44 547 1054 198 70 0
ODI 1 13 3 217 1124 453 79 0
CDI 0 3 2 38 557 1237 203 34
VCDI 0 0 0 21 222 5112 24770 30968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95491 19951 221 1003 646 131 40 0
OW 60 807 84 657 421 158 37 0
VODI 20 217 47 580 970 232 55 0
ODI 1 15 5 242 1075 365 73 0
CDI 0 1 3 54 693 1203 169 41
VCDI 0 0 0 20 254 5223 24822 30961

Date: 2019-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94825 19814 267 1493 473 25 0 0
OW 73 435 74 1023 799 147 7 0
VODI 32 96 18 563 1258 492 20 0
ODI 12 3 4 103 1058 824 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 481 1747 506 104
VCDI 0 0 0 8 276 5394 24194 30287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94851 18911 226 1469 709 167 19 0
OW 68 960 76 594 491 208 17 0
VODI 22 394 41 677 919 352 22 0
ODI 1 62 8 295 760 564 92 0
CDI 0 20 10 114 667 1014 213 7
VCDI 0 1 2 106 799 6324 24412 30384

Date: 2019-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93302 19135 221 1277 1009 32 0 0
OW 65 803 88 850 967 185 1 0
VODI 2 192 22 663 1237 621 20 0
ODI 0 49 10 194 968 785 32 0
CDI 0 3 4 140 593 1430 168 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 800 6568 25784 28778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93263 18455 187 1153 1352 217 17 0
OW 91 1065 62 548 671 328 42 0
VODI 14 556 71 698 835 565 66 0
ODI 1 66 8 390 707 739 80 0
CDI 0 28 13 195 740 1015 140 5
VCDI 0 12 4 190 1269 6757 25660 28773

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90612 20529 231 1162 827 81 5 0
OW 81 956 90 813 783 302 23 0
VODI 7 449 36 695 1023 775 50 0
ODI 1 69 18 350 818 1057 59 0
CDI 0 5 5 100 523 1515 304 18
VCDI 0 0 0 53 598 8526 27666 25833
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90512 19968 191 979 892 288 38 0
OW 165 1150 80 591 549 374 74 0
VODI 23 613 65 727 733 786 109 0
ODI 1 206 21 410 608 610 237 0
CDI 0 53 19 239 655 1093 254 32
VCDI 0 18 4 227 1135 9105 27395 25819


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