Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8860 8660 73 296 61 0 0 0
OW 55 1017 66 374 246 9 0 0
VODI 0 111 21 226 324 133 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 37 175 204 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 103 398 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 722 4805 4923
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7568 8581 93 482 96 0 0 0
OW 3 1267 63 424 428 12 0 0
VODI 0 186 23 241 625 206 3 0
ODI 0 19 9 40 173 284 27 0
CDI 0 3 6 47 73 393 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 107 1005 5558 3887
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5482 9766 127 606 87 0 0 0
OW 0 800 64 744 167 4 0 0
VODI 0 188 28 466 566 61 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 64 761 334 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 207 697 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 915 6148 3654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4294 9447 100 656 156 0 0 0
OW 0 878 65 698 454 10 0 0
VODI 0 187 39 706 752 134 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 85 631 456 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 237 866 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 128 1194 5838 3983
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4263 9614 106 784 168 0 0 0
OW 31 707 59 664 426 5 0 0
VODI 0 190 38 575 894 137 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 114 551 530 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 186 797 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 133 1191 5820 3983

Date: 2019-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3405 7472 123 924 283 0 0 0
OW 1 925 100 1106 1018 79 0 0
VODI 0 73 13 448 1070 359 5 0
ODI 0 12 3 50 687 754 75 0
CDI 0 0 2 16 275 869 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 121 713 4687 6056
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3354 7825 147 1183 418 2 0 0
OW 52 577 73 841 825 62 0 0
VODI 0 73 16 439 1167 418 6 0
ODI 0 6 3 65 652 811 111 0
CDI 0 1 2 11 224 734 318 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 168 747 4683 6056

Date: 2019-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2258 6147 127 647 10 0 0 0
OW 0 563 105 938 217 9 0 0
VODI 0 14 10 772 1206 117 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 2098 646 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 534 2797 183 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 69 938 5618 6013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2258 5667 149 1159 643 135 0 0
OW 0 963 74 856 1136 761 25 0
VODI 0 89 15 326 1264 781 172 0
ODI 0 5 1 27 545 938 226 0
CDI 0 0 3 14 422 975 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 124 917 4954 6013

Date: 2019-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1546 3905 128 1032 571 0 0 0
OW 0 563 41 688 1179 42 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 197 1419 573 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 917 1351 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 286 2775 389 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 80 2376 5701 6220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1546 3918 106 1011 1342 325 0 0
OW 0 491 49 584 1370 1055 33 0
VODI 0 82 22 298 1176 1724 324 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 320 1121 390 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 162 1270 477 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 82 1622 4915 6220

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1253 2266 40 383 604 11 0 0
OW 0 331 46 601 1344 720 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 130 1030 1411 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 191 1642 319 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 134 2138 986 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1334 7968 7137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1253 2349 50 489 1055 652 87 0
OW 0 251 36 505 887 1465 351 0
VODI 0 6 4 121 1188 2564 1054 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 154 887 1078 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 861 1152 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 827 5566 7127


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