Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2019-10-17
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-10-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
12379 |
7629 |
44 |
98 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
34 |
367 |
47 |
206 |
170 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
46 |
25 |
213 |
223 |
97 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
248 |
182 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
396 |
108 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
484 |
4626 |
4183 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-10-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
12848 |
7055 |
32 |
77 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
37 |
512 |
51 |
251 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
9 |
130 |
26 |
231 |
206 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
15 |
105 |
253 |
92 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
264 |
312 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
104 |
1272 |
4160 |
3837 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
11438 |
7847 |
65 |
243 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
61 |
370 |
39 |
241 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
15 |
37 |
6 |
170 |
311 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
1 |
32 |
306 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
166 |
501 |
19 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
714 |
4674 |
4520 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-10-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9676 |
8510 |
60 |
257 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
837 |
67 |
331 |
194 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
15 |
41 |
20 |
203 |
293 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
3 |
4 |
0 |
18 |
227 |
174 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
109 |
465 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
982 |
4921 |
4482 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
9698 |
8803 |
69 |
319 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
36 |
543 |
59 |
248 |
202 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
17 |
46 |
19 |
214 |
235 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
202 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
123 |
424 |
23 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
1028 |
4909 |
4482 |
|
Date: 2019-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8332 |
8562 |
85 |
378 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
1100 |
60 |
504 |
291 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
139 |
28 |
286 |
429 |
126 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
10 |
53 |
182 |
222 |
28 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
82 |
394 |
106 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
74 |
676 |
4892 |
4919 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8292 |
8812 |
95 |
500 |
140 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
48 |
799 |
48 |
371 |
265 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
193 |
27 |
295 |
365 |
156 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
12 |
49 |
157 |
172 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
89 |
369 |
118 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
97 |
707 |
4876 |
4919 |
|
Date: 2019-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6532 |
9359 |
108 |
532 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
786 |
82 |
599 |
154 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
129 |
23 |
474 |
497 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
819 |
192 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
194 |
755 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
980 |
5762 |
3832 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
6529 |
9091 |
122 |
799 |
206 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
865 |
53 |
458 |
452 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
276 |
24 |
332 |
722 |
213 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
4 |
33 |
174 |
322 |
14 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
9 |
33 |
89 |
368 |
203 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
42 |
133 |
984 |
5583 |
3832 |
|
Date: 2019-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4885 |
9609 |
105 |
735 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
859 |
62 |
748 |
260 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
215 |
35 |
591 |
657 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
4 |
63 |
725 |
337 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
255 |
712 |
33 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
116 |
1167 |
5911 |
3787 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4883 |
9256 |
103 |
974 |
256 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
972 |
49 |
542 |
410 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
421 |
37 |
475 |
778 |
424 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
42 |
8 |
98 |
405 |
532 |
10 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
9 |
40 |
94 |
392 |
180 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
141 |
911 |
5754 |
3787 |
|
Date: 2019-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3678 |
9016 |
107 |
613 |
205 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
900 |
83 |
821 |
660 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
164 |
28 |
605 |
879 |
195 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
4 |
80 |
689 |
604 |
19 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
248 |
882 |
166 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
105 |
687 |
5173 |
5396 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3613 |
7909 |
103 |
718 |
529 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
65 |
1781 |
56 |
634 |
419 |
149 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
386 |
53 |
617 |
1048 |
436 |
51 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
8 |
132 |
559 |
964 |
105 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
3 |
29 |
109 |
483 |
279 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
122 |
323 |
4926 |
5396 |
|
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