Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21042 5599 88 243 69 7 0 0
OW 0 153 32 232 153 13 0 0
VODI 0 31 10 141 316 72 2 0
ODI 0 7 2 34 444 161 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 236 896 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2159 8701 4879
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21051 5447 78 253 34 6 0 0
OW 0 223 25 217 127 18 0 0
VODI 0 38 16 126 306 43 4 0
ODI 0 2 2 52 266 150 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 190 833 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 1979 9610 4615
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20854 5700 74 231 36 4 0 0
OW 0 69 30 177 104 9 0 0
VODI 0 1 5 126 237 32 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 334 131 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 182 762 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 2035 10788 3721
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20472 5953 76 249 34 0 0 0
OW 0 188 20 126 106 6 0 0
VODI 0 24 26 151 179 59 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 294 126 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 154 432 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2513 11639 2808
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20472 6032 78 275 52 0 0 0
OW 0 109 29 102 88 6 0 0
VODI 0 24 15 156 201 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 290 128 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 137 406 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2543 11660 2808

Date: 2019-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20365 5789 82 271 57 2 0 0
OW 0 274 29 130 106 4 0 0
VODI 0 81 26 143 208 22 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 273 99 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 238 370 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 3758 9963 3358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20365 5842 92 313 80 1 0 0
OW 0 214 22 111 96 4 0 0
VODI 0 88 23 123 206 23 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 236 121 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 253 339 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 3767 9960 3358

Date: 2019-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19106 6661 101 284 37 4 0 0
OW 0 51 25 283 72 5 0 0
VODI 0 5 5 159 268 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 433 61 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 157 593 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 3229 11626 2614
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19106 6402 97 388 98 7 0 0
OW 0 256 19 162 130 8 0 0
VODI 0 59 15 162 254 46 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 268 150 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 163 409 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 55 3285 11583 2614

Date: 2019-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19903 5738 79 243 47 1 0 0
OW 0 127 36 235 65 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 234 230 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 307 91 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 262 396 147 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 84 3132 9361 5080
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19903 5399 74 318 82 2 0 0
OW 0 309 28 135 120 7 0 0
VODI 0 150 16 185 184 55 0 0
ODI 0 7 6 108 211 130 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 242 279 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 156 3167 9332 5080

Date: 2019-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18188 7180 89 203 46 8 0 0
OW 0 214 39 224 112 14 1 0
VODI 0 22 17 187 247 34 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 254 121 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 261 341 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 2145 9342 6370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18188 6829 78 210 75 18 0 0
OW 0 377 30 192 139 29 4 0
VODI 0 198 32 156 209 58 20 0
ODI 0 12 5 90 216 96 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 212 374 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 125 2088 9273 6370


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 07:02:53 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy