Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133388 14215 152 561 129 7 0 0
OW 0 947 74 569 303 13 0 0
VODI 0 202 61 687 725 142 2 0
ODI 0 42 11 216 1260 373 27 0
CDI 0 0 3 62 831 2252 265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 5035 17053 7428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133102 13736 127 539 184 14 0 0
OW 0 1102 77 595 281 28 0 0
VODI 0 303 47 514 839 141 4 0
ODI 0 56 26 198 919 509 27 0
CDI 0 0 4 118 635 1956 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 5471 18336 6786
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131182 15860 176 646 202 30 0 0
OW 0 198 77 595 285 29 0 0
VODI 0 15 22 403 739 70 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 1126 338 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 511 2546 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 4716 19897 6977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129957 16443 152 596 111 0 0 0
OW 1 521 80 609 264 11 0 0
VODI 0 70 51 439 723 82 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 189 967 252 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 873 1684 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 5891 22320 4396
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129958 16713 172 754 171 0 0 0
OW 0 253 75 485 269 12 0 0
VODI 0 64 31 422 708 86 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 165 976 386 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 808 1684 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 179 5752 22325 4396

Date: 2019-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129863 15843 155 545 127 2 0 0
OW 15 785 101 586 278 16 0 0
VODI 0 164 48 487 752 53 2 0
ODI 0 13 9 217 844 262 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 868 1366 178 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 213 8046 19949 5174
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129871 16143 187 693 201 6 0 0
OW 7 492 74 491 316 22 0 0
VODI 0 150 41 433 690 59 1 0
ODI 0 20 10 212 787 420 39 0
CDI 0 0 1 85 868 1226 255 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 220 8012 19842 5174

Date: 2019-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128712 17157 181 549 62 4 0 0
OW 54 243 90 763 169 8 0 0
VODI 0 18 15 586 742 30 0 0
ODI 0 16 4 101 1263 171 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 596 1807 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 7843 21607 4106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128752 16561 168 675 190 13 0 0
OW 14 631 74 532 315 27 0 0
VODI 0 175 39 565 669 138 2 0
ODI 0 34 4 159 738 422 70 0
CDI 0 33 4 72 744 992 538 0
VCDI 0 0 1 18 189 8271 21113 4106

Date: 2019-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127838 17759 181 552 116 1 0 0
OW 18 569 86 594 237 6 0 0
VODI 0 81 47 625 604 38 0 0
ODI 0 23 1 195 895 187 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 38 782 1353 223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 122 6461 18227 9183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127856 16985 164 636 198 2 0 0
OW 0 871 65 397 295 13 0 0
VODI 0 455 59 504 650 89 0 0
ODI 0 70 24 304 611 372 5 0
CDI 0 45 2 118 642 1328 238 0
VCDI 0 10 3 45 360 6242 18207 9183

Date: 2019-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124398 19921 176 540 212 8 0 0
OW 34 798 99 521 392 46 1 0
VODI 0 126 54 542 609 198 7 0
ODI 0 1 1 182 626 447 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 608 1191 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 3788 18790 12327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124416 19162 156 577 364 47 0 0
OW 16 1084 74 357 286 110 4 0
VODI 0 540 79 472 563 301 52 0
ODI 0 54 16 271 499 408 108 0
CDI 0 6 5 112 528 1052 719 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 280 3760 18228 12327


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 07:03:28 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy