Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95677 3525 19 214 78 0 0 0
OW 0 266 8 62 45 27 0 0
VODI 0 251 12 76 70 78 0 0
ODI 0 73 14 130 122 108 0 0
CDI 0 20 6 83 364 607 164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1566 5124 297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95466 3783 14 128 14 0 0 0
OW 0 288 11 78 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 251 10 70 119 0 0 0
ODI 0 81 19 127 191 15 0 0
CDI 0 30 6 75 586 487 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2410 4485 266
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95891 3804 26 113 3 0 0 0
OW 0 162 21 145 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 8 171 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 52 342 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 514 518 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 75 2837 3985 67
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96067 3511 24 122 3 0 0 0
OW 0 185 20 153 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 8 162 166 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 64 271 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 20 469 467 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2592 4419 136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96067 3573 30 130 21 0 0 0
OW 0 120 14 142 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 7 159 143 2 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 65 250 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 492 431 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 2639 4452 136

Date: 2019-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95619 3473 19 185 179 14 0 0
OW 0 136 19 108 99 15 0 0
VODI 0 61 6 69 190 41 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 47 158 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 39 154 549 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1903 5643 193
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95619 3490 22 205 190 16 0 0
OW 0 116 16 89 93 14 0 0
VODI 0 61 6 63 172 35 0 0
ODI 0 21 4 51 152 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 165 570 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1902 5634 193

Date: 2019-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95589 3543 30 218 134 39 0 0
OW 0 61 26 100 64 27 0 0
VODI 0 8 4 127 130 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 295 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 154 620 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2520 5230 33
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95589 3373 28 224 186 63 0 0
OW 0 155 15 52 45 38 0 0
VODI 0 56 10 102 104 55 0 0
ODI 0 25 5 55 138 78 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 55 241 426 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 63 2629 5241 33

Date: 2019-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93937 5092 48 302 67 0 0 0
OW 0 41 15 179 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 99 216 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 291 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 322 447 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1992 5762 130
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93937 4967 39 328 129 0 0 0
OW 0 107 15 103 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 6 90 201 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 53 215 40 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 41 288 400 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 2014 5760 130

Date: 2019-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95053 3882 38 197 90 13 0 0
OW 0 60 18 125 119 39 0 0
VODI 0 13 6 68 205 62 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 20 182 118 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 169 535 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2559 5292 99
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95053 3759 34 186 194 76 0 0
OW 0 124 11 80 58 53 4 0
VODI 0 63 11 82 100 96 17 0
ODI 0 10 6 48 144 83 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 220 382 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 2636 5265 99


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