Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-09-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16634 5058 15 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 715 52 164 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 53 1242 265 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 2020 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 287 2041 1556 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 1449 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15893 5601 9 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 745 54 121 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 196 50 965 382 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 160 1806 303 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 150 1429 2108 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 1987 80
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16396 5031 4 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 700 41 132 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 197 58 515 490 250 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 181 951 588 417 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 239 867 1820 87
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1036 2034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16363 5020 12 66 5 0 0 0
OW 0 667 25 134 129 2 0 0
VODI 0 254 59 466 588 179 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 260 931 929 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 217 1397 852 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 121 2169 1216
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16363 5401 24 141 35 0 0 0
OW 0 364 28 105 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 42 475 717 130 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 199 725 1081 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 267 1279 770 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 138 2228 1216

Date: 2019-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16376 4871 12 34 1 0 0 0
OW 0 763 37 200 97 1 0 0
VODI 0 372 40 387 581 201 27 0
ODI 0 45 30 288 715 678 456 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 199 536 1513 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 1233 2324
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16376 5338 35 149 37 0 0 0
OW 0 396 27 166 118 1 0 0
VODI 0 262 34 345 582 255 50 0
ODI 0 55 23 234 596 554 574 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 260 607 1257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 21 1348 2343

Date: 2019-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16534 5243 18 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 385 61 233 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 23 499 297 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 60 792 118 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 107 1184 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 71 2904 3176
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16534 4782 28 162 84 1 0 0
OW 0 554 17 129 117 26 0 0
VODI 0 271 31 269 354 401 29 0
ODI 0 75 27 215 381 516 844 0
CDI 0 1 1 50 267 431 1350 87
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 959 3089

Date: 2019-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16667 5173 19 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 462 48 204 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 35 523 200 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 158 659 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 405 975 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 404 3280 2552
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16586 4425 25 127 60 0 0 0
OW 81 599 10 107 86 11 0 0
VODI 0 556 41 334 329 164 0 0
ODI 0 121 27 293 477 808 184 0
CDI 0 3 3 83 329 476 1207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1978 2552

Date: 2019-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16466 5168 37 107 3 0 0 0
OW 0 613 26 208 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 43 412 239 67 0 0
ODI 0 16 5 114 607 141 16 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 400 749 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 762 3151 2378
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16327 4448 40 160 85 16 0 0
OW 139 562 6 81 82 73 5 0
VODI 0 732 29 228 288 231 33 0
ODI 0 148 35 325 512 565 86 0
CDI 0 15 2 76 357 774 561 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 60 2623 2378


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