Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-09-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16911 4895 11 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 622 63 244 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 50 1564 388 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 2418 335 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 380 3501 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 414 9 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16598 5061 11 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 696 65 282 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 43 1140 704 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 2056 582 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 204 2946 429 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 808 264 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16432 5486 14 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 479 72 279 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 25 1234 320 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 1971 464 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 175 3180 372 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 618 819 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16012 5805 16 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 638 67 180 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 46 1295 229 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 2170 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 406 2031 1466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 1373 28
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16012 5855 23 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 536 50 143 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 56 1266 332 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 2167 160 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 305 1923 1147 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 1692 28

Date: 2019-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15885 5692 13 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 733 56 117 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 61 1107 231 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 193 2033 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 265 2066 1459 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 151 1664 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15885 5808 20 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 518 33 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 320 77 1087 296 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 253 2001 397 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 232 1638 1369 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 305 1754 0

Date: 2019-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16204 5232 6 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 677 55 166 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 48 574 646 122 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 173 1117 891 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 198 952 2246 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1031 1494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16204 5327 17 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 424 30 97 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 316 60 552 608 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 248 1070 1126 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 293 805 2047 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1185 1499

Date: 2019-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16350 5071 17 30 1 0 0 0
OW 0 659 32 146 71 2 0 0
VODI 0 217 60 558 579 87 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 270 1039 819 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 191 1347 1102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 43 2326 1053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16350 5087 23 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 407 21 97 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 434 58 469 465 33 0 0
ODI 0 20 8 382 967 845 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 427 1300 937 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 120 2495 1053

Date: 2019-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16616 4716 16 56 1 0 0 0
OW 0 709 32 156 136 1 0 0
VODI 0 307 51 388 503 337 0 0
ODI 0 16 17 233 641 1040 227 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 162 518 1606 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1230 2340
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16616 4691 15 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 428 22 97 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 404 36 322 474 93 0 0
ODI 0 181 16 173 573 912 110 0
CDI 0 44 27 193 342 764 1182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 127 1771 2359


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