Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16117 5443 26 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 341 72 322 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 25 1145 1221 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 3314 273 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 1729 837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 539 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16247 5352 18 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 457 72 292 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 34 1630 808 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 224 2829 550 131 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 174 2070 420 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 670 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16059 5709 17 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 374 65 266 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 28 1872 120 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 286 3249 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 391 3297 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 254 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16772 5036 14 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 539 64 241 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 46 1665 290 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 345 2778 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 653 3115 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 372 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16772 5106 24 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 400 46 222 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 54 1367 420 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 621 2572 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 726 3136 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 343 0 0

Date: 2019-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16688 5072 11 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 628 78 288 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 38 1141 756 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 2113 572 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 438 3139 143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 584 164 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16688 5229 30 68 9 0 0 0
OW 0 421 57 208 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 40 1160 576 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 2195 562 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 530 3001 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 732 170 0

Date: 2019-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16577 5320 11 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 502 81 248 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 32 1341 262 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 2526 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 166 3444 205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 486 686 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16577 5232 22 61 1 0 0 0
OW 0 482 60 206 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 150 41 1157 493 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 213 1927 269 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 524 2720 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1041 549 0

Date: 2019-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15966 5911 12 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 568 70 205 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 31 1249 286 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 2044 250 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 400 2012 1469 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1399 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15966 5858 27 47 4 0 0 0
OW 0 481 38 170 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 203 43 1124 372 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 244 1543 357 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 790 1702 647 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 2221 6

Date: 2019-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16634 5058 15 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 715 52 164 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 53 1242 265 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 2020 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 287 2041 1556 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 1449 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16634 5120 30 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 519 34 171 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 284 46 992 441 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 10 325 1477 293 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 637 1518 608 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 442 2397 0


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