Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15587 6185 63 109 0 0 0 0
OW 2 241 37 449 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 19 1290 735 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 213 3729 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1216 1544 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 506 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14739 6872 32 58 0 0 0 0
OW 1 399 79 365 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 24 1540 627 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 532 3291 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1418 1332 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 627 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15631 5887 40 79 0 0 0 0
OW 0 188 63 386 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 1001 1181 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 3244 741 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 253 2502 328 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 482 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15666 5778 42 120 0 0 0 0
OW 0 258 71 327 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 795 1514 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 2897 823 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 300 1973 720 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 554 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15666 5812 45 167 1 0 0 0
OW 0 219 59 252 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 16 741 1580 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 2716 703 127 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 396 2132 689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 513 0 0

Date: 2019-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16118 5475 23 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 373 77 336 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 25 1586 869 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 3009 452 190 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 312 1737 751 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 451 73 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16118 5545 37 99 0 0 0 0
OW 0 294 57 303 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 31 1482 1150 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 222 2533 390 205 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 495 1876 747 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 374 62 0

Date: 2019-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16373 5387 12 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 377 78 238 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 38 1864 229 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 136 3462 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 261 3260 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 225 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16373 5333 31 77 0 0 0 0
OW 0 377 56 270 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 39 1579 876 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 326 2626 467 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 419 2560 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 536 0 0

Date: 2019-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16404 5357 21 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 415 60 264 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 33 1802 173 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 271 3093 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 470 3296 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 290 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16404 5184 26 87 1 0 0 0
OW 0 458 41 280 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 168 46 1610 625 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 386 2611 404 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 475 2609 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 638 0 0

Date: 2019-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16911 4895 11 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 622 63 244 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 50 1564 388 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 2418 335 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 380 3501 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 414 9 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16911 4774 16 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 533 47 262 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 284 54 1247 711 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 435 2123 601 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 347 2990 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 647 20 0


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